Reynella East SA Property Investment

Marion · 5161 · Score: 59/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$780K
Rental Yield
3.7%
Vacancy Rate
0.8%
Median Weekly Rent
$623/wk
Median Unit Price
$735K
Population
1,990
Days on Market
20 days
Annual Growth
9.1%

Reynella East Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$450/night
Occupancy Rate
42%
Est. Annual Revenue
$69K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Reynella East SA Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the Investment Scorecard of 59.0 / 100 is the key figure. It places Reynella East in a neutral zone, indicating that upside potential is limited while downside risk is moderate.

## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: Peer sources disagree by more than 10 %; the range is not disclosed in the data, so we cannot quote a single median. - Growth trend & days on market: No figures are supplied. Signal: With no clear price trend or market‑speed data, buyers cannot rely on strong price appreciation, and sellers lack evidence of a hot market. Caution is advisable until more granular statistics emerge.

## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: Not provided. - Weekly rent: Not provided. - Gross yield: Not provided. - Demand rating: Not provided. Implication: Without rental metrics, we cannot assess cash‑flow strength or tenant pressure. Investors should seek current vacancy and rent data before committing capital.

## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: Not provided. - Occupancy: Not provided. - Estimated annual revenue: Not provided. Conclusion: There is insufficient information to compare long‑term rental (LTR) versus short‑term rental (STR) performance. A site‑specific STR feasibility study would be required.

## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects, transport links, employment base: No details are supplied. Drivers/Limits: In the absence of identified infrastructure upgrades or major employers, we cannot pinpoint what is currently propelling or restraining demand.

## 6. Bull Case If future data were to show: - A tightening of the median price range toward the lower bound, - Rising rental demand and yields, and - New infrastructure or employment projects,

then the suburb could experience 5‑10 % capital growth over the next 12‑24 months and gross yields climbing to 4‑5 %. These figures are illustrative; they depend entirely on forthcoming market evidence.

## 7. Risks | Risk | Quantified Concern (where available) | |------|--------------------------------------| | Vacancy risk | No vacancy rate supplied – unknown exposure. | | Single‑employer dependency | No employment data – cannot gauge concentration risk. | | Supply pipeline | No information on upcoming housing releases – supply pressure is unclear. | | Rate sensitivity | Standard for all Australian property; higher interest rates could erode cash flow, especially given the unknown yield. |

## 8. The Play - Entry range: Unable to define without a concrete median price. - Minimum yield target: Cannot set a target yield without rental income data. - Watch signals: 1. Publication of a reliable median price figure. 2. Release of vacancy and rent statistics for the suburb. 3. Announcement of any new transport or employment projects. - Recommended strategy: Maintain a hold stance. Monitor the above signals; if the median price stabilises at the lower end of the implied range and rental yields improve to ≥ 4 %, consider a selective entry. Conversely, if vacancy rises or supply accelerates, reassess for a potential exit.

*Bottom line:* The current data set is too thin to justify a buy or avoid decision. The 59.0 / 100 score supports a cautious hold while we await richer market intelligence.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.0/10
▲Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
▲Inner/middle ring location (18.5km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
▲Active development pipeline (3617 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
3.7%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.4%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.0%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.2% + 10yr CAGR 4.5%

Growth drivers
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 0.8%) — upward price pressure
  • +Active market (20 days avg)
Headwinds
  • −High supply pipeline (3617 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

5 green5 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
0.8 high impact
Days on Market
20 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
623 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.23 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.52 high impact
1yr Price Growth
9.1 medium impact
Population Growth
0.26 high impact
Median Household Income
1334 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.5 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.8 medium impact
Distance to CBD
18.54 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
4 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
77.2 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.7 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.2 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

789

2020

799

2021

636

2022

626

2023

767

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 5161

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 5 of 10 — Average

Population

10,286

Education (IEO)

4/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

4/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Reynella East SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $623/wk median rent for Reynella East. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Reynella East College
PrimaryGovernment
5.8/10
Reynella East College
SecondaryGovernment
5.8/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.