Austins Ferry TAS Property Investment

Derwent Valley · 7011 · Score: 63/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$767K
Rental Yield
4.4%
Vacancy Rate
1.8%
Median Weekly Rent
$650/wk
Median Unit Price
$509K
Population
2,395
Days on Market
136 days
Annual Growth
6.1%

Austins Ferry Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$151/night
Occupancy Rate
%
Est. Annual Revenue
$36K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Austins Ferry TAS Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the key figure is the median house price of approximately $766,745 (sole source: OnTheHouse, no peer validation).

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: approximately $766,745 (sole source). - Growth trend: not supplied in the data set. - Days on market: not supplied.

*Interpretation:* With only a single‑source median price available, the market picture is incomplete. Buyers should treat the price as a reference point rather than a firm benchmark, while sellers need to price competitively to attract interest in an environment where demand signals are unclear.

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## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: not supplied. - Weekly rent: not supplied. - Gross yield: not supplied. - Demand rating: not supplied.

*Implication:* Without rental metrics we cannot calculate yield or assess tenant demand. Investors should seek up‑to‑date rental data before committing capital.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: not supplied. - Occupancy: not supplied. - Estimated annual revenue: not supplied.

*Conclusion:* The absence of STR data means we cannot compare long‑term rental (LTR) versus short‑term rental (STR) profitability for Austins Ferry at this time.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects, transport links, employment base: not supplied.

*Assessment:* With no information on infrastructure or major employers, we cannot identify specific demand drivers or constraints for the suburb.

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## 6. Bull Case Given the limited data, the bull case can only be described qualitatively:

  • If the median house price rises above the current approximate $766,745 level and rental yields improve, capital growth could outpace the Tasmanian average.
  • Should new infrastructure or employment projects be announced, demand could lift both property values and rental returns.

*Specific upside numbers cannot be modelled without additional market inputs.*

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Quantified Impact (if data were available) | Current Data | |------|--------------------------------------------|--------------| | Vacancy risk | Higher vacancy would erode yield | Vacancy rate not provided | | Single‑employer dependency | Over‑reliance on one major employer could amplify downturns | Employment base not provided | | Supply pipeline | New housing supply could depress prices | No data on upcoming developments | | Rate sensitivity | Interest‑rate hikes could reduce affordability | No local sensitivity data |

*All risk assessments are limited by the lack of concrete figures.*

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## 8. The Play - Entry range: target purchases around the sole‑source median of ≈ $766,745. - Minimum yield to target: cannot be set until weekly rent and vacancy data become available. - Watch signals: 1. Release of peer‑validated median price data. 2. Publication of vacancy and rental‑rate statistics for Austins Ferry. 3. Announcements of infrastructure or major employer projects. - Recommended strategy: adopt a cautious “hold” stance. Monitor the suburb for the missing data points listed above. If future releases show improving rental yields or new growth drivers, consider adding to the position; otherwise, maintain the current exposure without expanding.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.0/10
▲Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
▲Inner/middle ring location (14.6km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
▲Active development pipeline (326 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
2.5%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.3%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.0%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.2% + 10yr CAGR 4.0%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.8%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • −Slow market (136 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
  • −High supply pipeline (326 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

3 green8 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.8 high impact
Days on Market
136 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
650 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.23 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
3.97 high impact
1yr Price Growth
6.13 medium impact
Population Growth
1.38 high impact
Median Household Income
1295 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
6.6 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.5 medium impact
Distance to CBD
14.57 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
4 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
63.9 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
4.41 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.91 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

28

2020

88

2021

126

2022

41

2023

43

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 7011

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 2 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

15,742

Education (IEO)

2/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

2/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Austins Ferry TAS data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $650/wk median rent for Austins Ferry. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Austins Ferry Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
4.1/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.