Rokeby TAS Property Investment

THE MARKET

Rokeby recorded 11.1% annual price growth over the past 5 years — a $602,000 house bought in 2019 would be worth approximately $355,653 today. Properties are sitting on the market for 20 days (sellers have the leverage).

- **Median house:** $602,000 | **Units:** $298,873 - **Gross yield:** 4.7% | **Net yield:** 3.2% - **Vacancy:** 2.5% (stable) | **Rental demand:** Moderate - **5yr price growth:** 11.1%/yr | **3yr forecast:** 12.5%/yr - **Days on market:** 20 (improving)

STR potential: $175/night at 65% occupancy = ~$41,519/yr gross. That's a **48% premium** over long-term rent — but factor in higher management costs and council rules.

BULL CASE

If Rokeby maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.8%, median prices could reach $692,300 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

Notable infrastructure: **Rokeby Park and Ride** (under construction). Plus 3 more projects in the pipeline.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Rokeby pull back 10-15% from $602,000, with vacancy rising to 4.5% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

WHAT TO DO

Rokeby presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and moderate rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 4.7% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current growth phase of the market cycle.

- Entry range: $541,800 – $662,200 - Minimum yield to target: 5.0% - Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.