Rosny Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Rosny TAS Investment Analysis
BUY
— $745,974 median with 9.8%/yr growth over 5 years.
THE MARKET
Rosny has compounded at 9.8%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $467,425 in 2021 is worth $745,974 today. Properties are sitting on market for 38 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,190,516 by 2031.
- **Median house:** $745,974 | **Units:** $374,557 - **Gross yield:** 5.1% | **Net yield:** 3.6% - **5yr price CAGR:** 9.8%/yr | **3yr forecast:** 11.0%/yr - **Population:** 29,440 | **Owner-occupier rate:** 41% | **Affluence:** Above Average
- **Supply pipeline:** Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- **Vacancy:** 2.9% (stable) | **Rental demand:** Moderate - **Median weekly rent:** $730/wk | **Days on market:** 38 (stable) - Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- **Median nightly rate:** $175/night | **Occupancy:** 65% - **Estimated annual STR gross:** ~$41,519/yr - **vs long-term rent:** $37,960/yr (comparable — LTR offers simpler management)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record. - **Transport:** Well-connected inner-city location
BULL CASE
If Rosny maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.0%, median prices could reach $857,870 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Rosny pull back 10-15% from $745,974, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- **Austin Ferry** (TAS): $638,011 median, 4.3% yield, 8.7% 1yr growth - **Bellerive** (TAS): $900,000 median, 3.5% yield, 8.8% 1yr growth - **Bicheno** (TAS): $810,000 median, 2.5% yield, 17.0% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Rosny presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and moderate rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 5.1% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current growth phase of the market cycle.
- Entry range: $671,377 – $820,571 - Minimum gross yield to target: 5.4% - Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.