Strahan TAS Property Investment

West Coast · 7468 · Score: 49/100 · Caution

Median House Price
$310K
Rental Yield
4.9%
Vacancy Rate
2.8%
Median Weekly Rent
$290/wk
Median Unit Price
$173K
Population
697
Days on Market
154 days
Annual Growth
5.4%

Strahan Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$241/night
Occupancy Rate
%
Est. Annual Revenue
$57K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Strahan TAS Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the key figure is the median house price of approximately $309,584 (pending peer validation). At this price level the market still shows caution (Investment Scorecard 49/100) and does not yet present a clear upside that would justify a Buy, nor clear downside that would merit an Avoid.

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2. Market Overview

MetricFigureComment
Median house price≈ $309,584 (pending peer validation)The only price data supplied; the “approximately” wording respects the median‑trust note.
Median unit price*Not provided*–
Growth trend (annual %)*Not provided*No growth data means we cannot quantify price momentum.
Days on market (DOM)*Not provided*–
Market signalBalanced / CautiousThe 49/100 scorecard and lack of growth/DOM data suggest neither buyers nor sellers dominate. Buyers should negotiate hard; sellers need realistic expectations.

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3. Rental Market

MetricFigureInterpretation
Vacancy rate*Not provided*Cannot assess rental pressure.
Weekly rent (house)*Not provided*–
Gross yield*Not calculable* (rent data missing)–
Demand rating*Not provided*–

*Take‑away:* With no rental statistics available, investors cannot gauge cash‑flow reliability. The absence of data itself is a caution flag – any purchase should be predicated on obtaining current rent and vacancy figures before committing.

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4. Short‑Term Rental (STR) Opportunity

MetricFigureComment
Nightly STR rate*Not provided*–
Occupancy %*Not provided*–
Estimated annual STR revenue*Not calculable*–
LTR vs STRIndeterminateWithout STR numbers we cannot say which model outperforms the other.

*Take‑away:* Investors should source local STR performance data (e.g., Airbnb dashboards) before deciding between long‑term and short‑term strategies.

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5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers

FactorDetail
Known projects*Not provided*
Transport links*Not provided*
Employment base*Not provided*
Demand drivers / constraints*Not provided*

*Take‑away:* The lack of disclosed infrastructure or employment information means there is no identifiable catalyst to lift demand at present. Any future announcements should be monitored closely.

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6. Bull Case

If a new tourism‑related development or government‑backed infrastructure upgrade materialises, price appreciation could follow. A modest 10 % uplift on the median house price would move the value to:

\[ \$309,584 \times 1.10 \approx \$340,543 \]

Should rental data become available and support a gross yield of 5 % or higher, the cash‑flow case would also improve. These scenarios are speculative and rely on external data not currently supplied.

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7. Risks

RiskQuantified aspect (where available)Impact
Vacancy risk*No vacancy figure supplied* – could be high if demand is weak.Potential loss of rental income.
Single‑employer dependency*Employment data not supplied* – if the town relies on one major employer, any downsizing would hit both rent and resale values.Income and price volatility.
Supply pipeline*No data on new dwellings* – a sudden influx of new houses could push prices down.Down‑side pressure on capital value.
Rate sensitivityInterest rates affect all Australian markets; with a median price of ≈ $309,584, a 5 % rate rise could increase mortgage repayments by roughly $750 per month on a 30‑year loan (assuming 20 % deposit).Reduces buyer affordability and could depress demand.

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8. The Play

ElementGuidance
Entry price range≈ $278,600 – $340,500 (±10 % around the median of $309,584).
Minimum gross yield target4 %–5 % – only achievable once weekly rent data is confirmed.
Watch signals1. Peer‑validated median price (confirmation of $309,584). 2. Announcement of any tourism or transport projects. 3. Emerging rental market data (vacancy, rent).
Recommended strategyHold existing positions while sourcing up‑to‑date rental and STR data. If the median price is validated and a clear yield ≥ 4 % emerges, consider a buy‑and‑hold for long‑term capital growth. If vacancy spikes or new supply floods the market, shift to an avoid stance.

*Bottom line:* Strahan’s current data set is thin. The median house price of approximately $309,584 anchors the analysis, but investors must obtain missing rental, vacancy, and infrastructure information before moving beyond a cautious Hold.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification2.8/10
▲Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
—Moderate development activity (39 approvals)

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
1.1%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
1.0%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
0.8%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 2.7% + 10yr CAGR 1.7%

Headwinds
  • −Population decline (-0.3%/yr) — demand headwind
  • −Slow market (154 days avg) — buyer hesitancy

Suburb Metric Thresholds

0 green7 yellow9 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.8 high impact
Days on Market
154 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
290 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
2.74 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
1.66 high impact
1yr Price Growth
5.4 medium impact
Population Growth
-0.31 high impact
Median Household Income
1347 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.6 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.9 medium impact
Distance to CBD
183.79 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
2 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
64.1 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
4.87 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
3.37 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

9

2020

5

2021

16

2022

8

2023

1

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 7468

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

697

Education (IEO)

1/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

2/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Strahan TAS data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $290/wk median rent for Strahan. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Strahan Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
5.2/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.