Waverley TAS Property Investment
Meander Valley · 7250 · Score: 49/100 · Caution
Waverley Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.
Waverley TAS Investment Brief
CAUTION — 4.4% gross yield on a $583,853 median.
THE MARKET
Waverley has compounded at 3.2%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $498,775 in 2021 is worth $583,853 today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $683,443 by 2031.
- Median house: $583,853 | Units: $427,632
- Gross yield: 4.4% | Net yield: 2.9%
- 5yr price CAGR: 3.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 1,583 | Owner-occupier rate: 68% | Affluence: Above Average
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 2.8% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $498/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
- Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $400/night | Occupancy: 35%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$51,164/yr
- vs long-term rent: $25,896/yr (+98% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: East Tamar Junction station 1.9km away
BULL CASE
If Waverley maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.0%, median prices could reach $671,431 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Waverley pull back 10-15% from $583,853, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Chigwell (TAS): $643,220 median, 4.5% yield, 21.1% 1yr growth
- Hagley (TAS): $666,801 median, 1.6% yield, 16.4% 1yr growth
- Huonville (TAS): $713,525 median, 3.9% yield, 5.2% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Waverley carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A cooling market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.
- Entry range: $525,468 – $642,238
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.7%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 3.2% + 10yr CAGR 3.9%
- −High supply pipeline (802 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
123
2020
223
2021
182
2022
141
2023
133
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 7250
Decile 4 of 10 — Average
Population
51,133
Education (IEO)
5/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
3/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Waverley TAS data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $498/wk median rent for Waverley. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.