Box Hill VIC Property Investment

Whitehorse · 3128 · Score: 68/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.54M
Rental Yield
2.2%
Vacancy Rate
2.2%
Median Weekly Rent
$650/wk
Median Unit Price
$541K
Population
14,353
Days on Market
32 days
Annual Growth
11.1%

Box Hill Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$441.38/night
Occupancy Rate
48%
Est. Annual Revenue
$77K
AI Investment Analysis

Box Hill VIC Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Buy – the suburb scores 68.0 / 100 on Estait’s Investment Scorecard, the highest single figure we have and the primary driver for the recommendation.

---

## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: approximately $1,542,485 (sole‑source figure from OnTheHouse; not peer‑validated). - Growth trend: not supplied in the data set. - Days on market: not supplied.

Signal: With a median price in the $1.5 m range, the market sits at a premium level. In the absence of growth or DOM data we cannot tell whether the market is cooling or heating, but the high median suggests a mature, possibly low‑turnover environment. Buyers should be prepared for a sizeable upfront outlay; sellers can likely command strong offers at or above the median.

---

## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: not supplied. - Weekly rent: not supplied. - Gross yield: not supplied. - Demand rating: not supplied.

Implication: Without rental metrics we cannot calculate yield or assess tenant demand. Investors should obtain current rental listings and vacancy statistics before committing to a long‑term rental (LTR) strategy.

---

## 4. Short‑Term Rental (STR) Opportunity - Nightly rate: not supplied. - Occupancy: not supplied. - Estimated annual revenue: not supplied.

Conclusion: There is insufficient data to compare LTR versus STR profitability. Prospective investors should conduct a separate STR market scan (e.g., Airbnb data) to determine which model delivers a higher net return.

---

## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects, transport links, employment base: not supplied.

Observation: No concrete information is available on upcoming developments, public‑transport upgrades, or major employers that could influence demand. Further research (council planning documents, transport authority releases) is required to identify any catalysts.

---

## 6. Bull Case If the suburb’s median price of ≈ $1,542,485 appreciates, capital growth would directly boost investor returns. For example, a 5 % price rise would lift the median to roughly $1.62 m, delivering a $77,500 gain per property (excluding transaction costs). However, this scenario is illustrative only; the data set does not contain a specific growth forecast.

---

## 7. Risks | Risk | Data‑based Insight | |------|-------------------| | Vacancy risk | Vacancy rate not provided – cannot quantify exposure. | | Single‑employer dependency | Employment base not disclosed – cannot assess concentration risk. | | Supply pipeline | No information on new housing approvals or construction activity – unknown impact on future oversupply. | | Rate sensitivity | As with any high‑value property, interest‑rate hikes could compress cash flow, but no specific sensitivity metrics are available. |

---

## 8. The Play - Entry range: target purchases around the sole‑source median of ≈ $1,542,485 (allowing a modest discount if possible). - Minimum yield to target: cannot be set without rental income data; investors should first obtain current weekly rents and calculate gross yield before committing. - Watch signals: 1. Release of any council‑approved development plans. 2. Updates to transport infrastructure (e.g., new rail or tram services). 3. Emerging rental market data (vacancy, rent growth). - Recommended strategy: Conduct a detailed rental‑market audit to establish achievable gross yield. If the yield meets or exceeds the investor’s hurdle rate, proceed with a long‑term rental purchase. If STR data later shows a higher net return, consider a flexible use strategy (e.g., a property that can switch between LTR and STR).

*Bottom line:* The Investment Scorecard backs a Buy stance, but the paucity of market, rental, and infrastructure data means due‑diligence must focus on filling those gaps before finalising an acquisition.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Moderate capital growth (4.1% CAGR)
Inner/middle ring location (14.1km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
High renter base (47%) — room for tenure upgrade as area improves
Active development pipeline (6960 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
4.6%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
4.3%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.7%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 4.1% + 10yr CAGR 4.8%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (2.9%/yr) driving demand
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.2%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (6960 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

6 green6 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.2 high impact
Days on Market
32 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
650 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
4.12 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.76 high impact
1yr Price Growth
11.11 medium impact
Population Growth
2.87 high impact
Median Household Income
1441 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
7 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
8.1 medium impact
Distance to CBD
14.13 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
7 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
48 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.19 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.69 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-05

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

1,700

2020

1,786

2021

1,442

2022

1,235

2023

797

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 3128

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 5 of 10 — Average

Population

22,841

Education (IEO)

9/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

2/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Box Hill VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $650/wk median rent for Box Hill. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Laburnum Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
9.1/10
Box Hill High School
SecondaryGovernment
8.4/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

Analyse a Property in Box Hill

Get instant STR rules, granny flat feasibility, rental yield, and full investment strategy comparison for any address in Box Hill.

Analyse a Property →

Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.