Brunswick Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Brunswick VIC Investment Analysis
SUBURB INVESTMENT BRIEF — Brunswick, VIC 3056 LGA: Merri-bek Generated: 2026-04-11 | Estait AI Analysis
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Overall Score: 72/100 — Buy
Brunswick rates as "Buy" due to strong short-term rental performance.
Brunswick sits in a growth phase of the property cycle with an overall investment score of 72 out of 100. This assessment reflects the suburb's growth trajectory, rental market health, economic resilience, and infrastructure positioning within the VIC market.
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MARKET POSITION
Median house price: $1,300,000 Median unit price: $550,000 Median weekly rent: $730/week Days on market: 41 days (stable)
Brunswick sits within the mid-market segment in the VIC property landscape. Properties are spending an average of 41 days on market, pointing to softer demand conditions.
Comparable suburbs: - Ferny Creek (VIC): Median $1,037,300, yield 0.0%, 1yr growth 0.0% - Flemington (VIC): Median $1,014,500, yield 0.0%, 1yr growth 0.0% - Forest Hill (VIC): Median $1,325,000, yield 0.0%, 1yr growth 0.0%
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RENTAL MARKET
Gross rental yield: 2.9% Net rental yield: 1.4% Vacancy rate: 2.0% (stable) Rental demand: High
The rental market in Brunswick is characterised by high demand with a vacancy rate of 2.0%, which is near the national average of approximately 2.5%. Vacancy is trending stable, maintaining steady conditions.
Short-term rental data indicates a median nightly rate of $180 with an estimated occupancy of 72%. This translates to an estimated annual STR revenue of $47,304 before expenses. This represents a 25% premium over estimated long-term rental income of $37,960/year, though STR comes with higher management costs and regulatory risk.
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GROWTH OUTLOOK
Population growth (5yr): 1.4% Price CAGR (5yr): 0.6% Capital growth (3yr forecast): 0.6% Supply pipeline: Moderate
Development activity consistent with long-term averages
Infrastructure & transport: - No major infrastructure projects identified. Transport: Well-connected inner-city location
If Brunswick maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.4%, median prices could reach $1,495,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
At current trajectory (1.4% growth, 2.0% vacancy, 2.9% yield), Brunswick offers steady returns with moderate capital appreciation in line with broader market trends.
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RISK ASSESSMENT
Market cycle position: Growth Vacancy risk: Moderate
Key risks: - No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
Interest rate sensitivity (est. monthly repayment on median house price, 80% LVR): - At 7%: $6,919/month - At 8%: $7,631/month - At 9%: $8,368/month
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Brunswick pull back 10-15% from $1,300,000, with vacancy rising to 3.6% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
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LIVEABILITY
Affluence rating: Very High Safety score: 6.5/10 Walkability: 80/100 Owner-occupied: 35%
Schools: - Brunswick Public School (primary): Rating 7.0/10 - Brunswick Primary School (primary): Rating 6.6/10 - Brunswick High School (secondary): Rating 6.8/10
Brunswick is a highly sought-after residential area with good safety ratings and strong walkability. The 35% owner-occupier rate indicates a predominantly rental market.
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RECOMMENDATION — BUY
Brunswick presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels.
Conditions: Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.9% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current growth phase of the market cycle.
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KEY ACTION ITEMS
1. Shortlist properties in the $1,170,000 - 1,430,000 range for deeper analysis 2. Verify current vacancy and rental rates with local property managers 3. Assess STR regulatory environment with local council 4. Model cash flow at 7%+ interest rates before committing 5. Engage a buyer's agent with Brunswick market expertise for off-market opportunities
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.