Burwood Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Burwood VIC Investment Analysis
SUBURB INVESTMENT BRIEF — Burwood, VIC 3125 LGA: Generated: 2026-04-11 | Estait AI Analysis
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Overall Score: 66/100 — Buy
Burwood rates as "Buy" due to tight rental market (0.8% vacancy).
Burwood sits in a growth phase of the property cycle with an overall investment score of 66 out of 100. This assessment reflects the suburb's growth trajectory, rental market health, economic resilience, and infrastructure positioning within the VIC market.
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MARKET POSITION
Median house price: $1,500,000 Median unit price: $622,146 Median weekly rent: $700/week Days on market: 29 days (stable)
Burwood sits within the mid-market segment in the VIC property landscape. Properties are spending an average of 29 days on market, suggesting balanced supply-demand dynamics.
Comparable suburbs: - Fitzroy North (VIC): Median $1,885,000, yield 0.0%, 1yr growth 0.0% - Forest Hill (VIC): Median $1,325,000, yield 0.0%, 1yr growth 0.0% - Garden City (VIC): Median $1,798,300, yield 0.0%, 1yr growth 0.0%
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RENTAL MARKET
Gross rental yield: 2.4% Net rental yield: 0.9% Vacancy rate: 0.8% (improving) Rental demand: Very High
The rental market in Burwood is characterised by very high demand with a vacancy rate of 0.8%, which is well below the national average of approximately 2.5%. Vacancy is trending improving, supporting landlord pricing power.
Short-term rental data indicates a median nightly rate of $175 with an estimated occupancy of 66%. This translates to an estimated annual STR revenue of $42,158 before expenses. This represents a 16% premium over estimated long-term rental income of $36,400/year, though STR comes with higher management costs and regulatory risk.
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GROWTH OUTLOOK
Population growth (5yr): -0.2% Price CAGR (5yr): 8.2% Capital growth (3yr forecast): 9.2% Supply pipeline: Low
Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
Infrastructure & transport: - No major infrastructure projects identified. Transport: Standard suburban transport access
If Burwood maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $1,725,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
At current trajectory (-0.2% growth, 0.8% vacancy, 2.4% yield), Burwood offers steady returns with moderate capital appreciation in line with broader market trends.
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RISK ASSESSMENT
Market cycle position: Growth Vacancy risk: Low
Key risks: - No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
Interest rate sensitivity (est. monthly repayment on median house price, 80% LVR): - At 7%: $7,984/month - At 8%: $8,805/month - At 9%: $9,655/month
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Burwood pull back 10-15% from $1,500,000, with vacancy rising to 1.4% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
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LIVEABILITY
Affluence rating: Very High Safety score: 6.5/10 Walkability: 65/100 Owner-occupied: 32%
Schools: - Burwood Public School (primary): Rating 10.0/10 - Burwood East Public School (primary): Rating 9.5/10 - Burwood West Public School (primary): Rating 9.0/10 - Burwood High School (secondary): Rating 10.0/10
Burwood is a highly sought-after residential area with good safety ratings and moderate walkability. The 32% owner-occupier rate indicates a predominantly rental market.
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RECOMMENDATION — BUY
Burwood presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels.
Conditions: Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.4% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current growth phase of the market cycle.
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KEY ACTION ITEMS
1. Shortlist properties in the $1,350,000 - 1,650,000 range for deeper analysis 2. Verify current vacancy and rental rates with local property managers 3. Assess STR regulatory environment with local council 4. Model cash flow at 7%+ interest rates before committing 5. Engage a buyer's agent with Burwood market expertise for off-market opportunities
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.