Caulfield North VIC Property Investment

Glen Eira · 3161 · Score: 74/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.88M
Rental Yield
2.5%
Vacancy Rate
2.2%
Median Weekly Rent
$900/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.44M
Population
16,903
Days on Market
32 days
Annual Growth
-1.4%

Caulfield North Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$473.12/night
Occupancy Rate
48%
Est. Annual Revenue
$83K
AI Investment Analysis

Caulfield North VIC Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Buy – the Investment Scorecard of 74.0 / 100 signals a strong upside potential relative to risk.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: approximately $1,875,000 (sole source – OnTheHouse, no peer validation). - Growth trend & days on market: not supplied in the data set, so we cannot quantify recent price momentum or liquidity. - Signal: With a median price in the high‑$1.8 m range, the market is clearly positioned in the premium segment. Buyers should be prepared for a sizable capital outlay, while sellers can likely command strong offers given the high‑value base.

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## 3. Rental Market No rental‑related figures (vacancy, weekly rent, gross yield, demand rating) are provided. Consequently we cannot calculate current yields or assess rental demand.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity Short‑term rental metrics (nightly rate, occupancy, estimated annual revenue) are absent, so we cannot determine whether a long‑term rental (LTR) or short‑term rental (STR) strategy would be more profitable.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers The data set does not list any specific projects, transport upgrades, or major employment hubs for Caulfield North. Without these details we cannot identify concrete demand drivers or constraints.

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## 6. Bull Case If the suburb’s price trajectory aligns with broader Melbourne premium‑suburb trends, capital growth could outpace the city average. However, precise upside figures cannot be modelled because growth rates and comparable benchmarks are not supplied.

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## 7. Risks - Vacancy risk: cannot be quantified (rental data missing). - Employer concentration risk: no information on dominant local employers, so we cannot assess dependency. - Supply pipeline risk: absent data on upcoming developments or approvals, making future oversupply impossible to gauge. - Interest‑rate sensitivity: as with any high‑value property, a rise in rates could pressure affordability and buyer sentiment, but the magnitude cannot be expressed without cash‑flow numbers.

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## 8. The Play - Entry range: not defined due to lack of comparable recent sale data. - Minimum yield target: cannot be set without rental income figures. - Watch signals: monitor any release of median price updates, rental market reports, or announcements of infrastructure projects in the area. - Recommended strategy: given the strong Investment Scorecard (74/100) and the high‑value median price, proceed with cautious acquisition—secure a property at or below the $1.875 m median (if possible) and conduct on‑the‑ground due diligence to fill the data gaps (rental returns, development pipeline, transport upgrades) before finalising the purchase.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Moderate capital growth (6.2% CAGR)
Inner/middle ring location (8.1km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
Mixed tenure (40% renters) — transitional suburb profile
Active development pipeline (4862 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
6.0%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
5.5%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
4.8%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 6.2% + 10yr CAGR 5.6%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (2.0%/yr)
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.2%) — constrained supply
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (4862 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

8 green5 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.2 high impact
Days on Market
32 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
900 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
6.22 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
5.6 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-1.41 medium impact
Population Growth
2.05 high impact
Median Household Income
2205 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
76 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.9 medium impact
Distance to CBD
8.08 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
10 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
57.2 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.5 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

892

2020

1,472

2021

1,235

2022

691

2023

572

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 3161

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 10 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

16,903

Education (IEO)

10/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

7/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Caulfield North VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $900/wk median rent for Caulfield North. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Caulfield Junior College
PrimaryGovernment
9.3/10
Glen Eira College
SecondaryGovernment
8.3/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.