Colac Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Colac VIC Investment Analysis
SUBURB INVESTMENT BRIEF — Colac, VIC 3250 LGA: Generated: 2026-04-11 | Estait AI Analysis
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Overall Score: 63/100 — Hold
Colac rates as "Hold" due to attractive 5.1% gross yield.
Colac sits in a growth phase of the property cycle with an overall investment score of 63 out of 100. This assessment reflects the suburb's growth trajectory, rental market health, economic resilience, and infrastructure positioning within the VIC market.
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MARKET POSITION
Median house price: $486,000 Median unit price: $258,387 Median weekly rent: $480/week Days on market: 32 days (stable)
Colac offers an accessible entry point in the VIC property landscape. Properties are spending an average of 32 days on market, suggesting balanced supply-demand dynamics.
Comparable suburbs: - Eureka (VIC): Median $525,000, yield 0.0%, 1yr growth 0.0% - Euroa (VIC): Median $507,500, yield 0.0%, 1yr growth 0.0% - Flora Hill (VIC): Median $496,000, yield 0.0%, 1yr growth 0.0%
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RENTAL MARKET
Gross rental yield: 5.1% Net rental yield: 3.6% Vacancy rate: 2.8% (stable) Rental demand: Moderate
The rental market in Colac is characterised by moderate demand with a vacancy rate of 2.8%, which is near the national average of approximately 2.5%. Vacancy is trending stable, maintaining steady conditions.
Short-term rental data indicates a median nightly rate of $175 with an estimated occupancy of 66%. This translates to an estimated annual STR revenue of $42,158 before expenses. This represents a 69% premium over estimated long-term rental income of $24,960/year, though STR comes with higher management costs and regulatory risk.
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GROWTH OUTLOOK
Population growth (5yr): -0.5% Price CAGR (5yr): 4.3% Capital growth (3yr forecast): 4.9% Supply pipeline: Low
Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
Infrastructure & transport: - No major infrastructure projects identified. Transport: Well-connected inner-city location
If Colac maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.0%, median prices could reach $558,900 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
At current trajectory (-0.5% growth, 2.8% vacancy, 5.1% yield), Colac offers steady returns with moderate capital appreciation in line with broader market trends.
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RISK ASSESSMENT
Market cycle position: Growth Vacancy risk: Moderate
Key risks: - No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
Interest rate sensitivity (est. monthly repayment on median house price, 80% LVR): - At 7%: $2,587/month - At 8%: $2,853/month - At 9%: $3,128/month
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Colac pull back 10-15% from $486,000, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
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LIVEABILITY
Affluence rating: Below Average Safety score: 8.4/10 Walkability: 90/100 Owner-occupied: 34%
Schools: - Colac Public School (primary): Rating 10.0/10 - Colac East Public School (primary): Rating 9.5/10 - Colac West Public School (primary): Rating 9.0/10 - Colac High School (secondary): Rating 10.0/10
Colac provides affordable living with excellent safety ratings and strong walkability. The 34% owner-occupier rate indicates a predominantly rental market.
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RECOMMENDATION — HOLD
Colac offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a growth phase with moderate vacancy risk.
Conditions: Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 5.6%.
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KEY ACTION ITEMS
1. Shortlist properties in the $437,400 - 534,600 range for deeper analysis 2. Verify current vacancy and rental rates with local property managers 3. Assess STR regulatory environment with local council 4. Model cash flow at 7%+ interest rates before committing 5. Engage a buyer's agent with Colac market expertise for off-market opportunities
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.