Colac VIC Property Investment

Colac Otway · 3250 · Score: 54/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$495K
Rental Yield
5.1%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$483/wk
Median Unit Price
$335K
Population
9,243
Days on Market
45 days
Annual Growth
7.8%

Colac Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$174.4/night
Occupancy Rate
%
Est. Annual Revenue
$41K
AI Investment Analysis

Colac VIC Investment Brief

HOLD5.1% gross yield on a $495,000 median.

THE MARKET

Colac has compounded at 3.7%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $412,773 in 2021 is worth $495,000 today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $593,607 by 2031.

  • Median house: $495,000 | Units: $335,000
  • Gross yield: 5.1% | Net yield: 3.6%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 3.7%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 9,243 | Owner-occupier rate: 71% | Affluence: Below Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $483/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Colac maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $569,250 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Colac pull back 10-15% from $495,000, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Sebastopol (VIC): $475,000 median, 4.5% yield, 14.0% 1yr growth
  • Norlane (VIC): $510,000 median, 4.2% yield, 10.6% 1yr growth
  • Weir Views (VIC): $633,267 median, 3.8% yield, 8.7% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Colac offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a cooling phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 5.6%.

  • Entry range: $445,500$544,500
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 5.4%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification2.5/10
Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
Active development pipeline (401 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
3.3%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.0%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.6%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.7% + 10yr CAGR 4.5%

Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (401 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

2 green10 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
45 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
483 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.71 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.48 high impact
1yr Price Growth
7.8 medium impact
Population Growth
0.81 high impact
Median Household Income
1250 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
2.9 medium impact
Public Transport Score
6 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6 medium impact
Distance to CBD
134.09 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
5 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
70.8 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
5.07 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
3.57 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

128

2022

162

2023

111

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 3250

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 2 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

12,756

Education (IEO)

1/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

3/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Colac VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $483/wk median rent for Colac. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Colac West Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
4.7/10
Colac Secondary College
SecondaryGovernment
4.9/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.