Glen Waverley VIC Property Investment

Monash · 3150 · Score: 67/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.69M
Rental Yield
2.4%
Vacancy Rate
2.2%
Median Weekly Rent
$788/wk
Median Unit Price
$912K
Population
42,642
Days on Market
96 days
Annual Growth
7.1%

Glen Waverley Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$446/night
Occupancy Rate
48%
Est. Annual Revenue
$78K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Glen Waverley VIC Investment Brief

BUY — $1,691,515 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) median with 7.9%/yr growth over 5 years.

THE MARKET

Glen Waverley has compounded at 7.9%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $1,691,515 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 96 days (buyers have negotiating room).

  • Median house: $1,691,515 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) | Units: $911,566
  • Gross yield: 2.4% | Net yield: 0.9%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 7.9%/yr | 3yr forecast: 3.8%/yr
  • Population: 42,642 | Owner-occupier rate: 72% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.2% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $788/wk | Days on market: 96 (worsening)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $446/night | Occupancy: 48%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$78,206/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $40,976/yr (+91% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Suburban Rail Loop East (Melbourne) (Under Construction)
  • Angliss Hospital Expansion (Under Delivery)
  • North East Link (Melbourne) (Under Construction)
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Glen Waverley maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.5%, median prices could reach $1,945,242 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Glen Waverley pull back 10-15% from $1,691,515, with vacancy rising to 4.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Carlton (VIC): $1,200,000 median, 3.6% yield, 8.7% 1yr growth
  • Collingwood (VIC): $1,300,000 median, 3.2% yield, 4.1% 1yr growth
  • Altona East (VIC): $1,250,000 median, 1.7% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Glen Waverley presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.4% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current above_trend phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $1,522,364 – $1,860,667
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.0/10
▼High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
▲Above-average capital growth (7.9% CAGR)
▲Inner/middle ring location (19.1km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
▲Active development pipeline (5306 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
▲Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
6.7%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
6.1%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
5.3%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 7.9% + 10yr CAGR 6.7%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.2%) — constrained supply
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • −Slow market (96 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
  • −High supply pipeline (5306 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

6 green7 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.2 high impact
Days on Market
96 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
788 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
7.94 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
6.66 high impact
1yr Price Growth
7.13 medium impact
Population Growth
1.05 high impact
Median Household Income
1882 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.5 medium impact
Public Transport Score
57 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.5 medium impact
Distance to CBD
19.12 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
8 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
72.2 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.42 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.92 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

1,259

2020

1,021

2021

1,022

2022

1,133

2023

871

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 3150

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

63,298

Education (IEO)

9/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

8/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Glen Waverley VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $788/wk median rent for Glen Waverley. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Glen Waverley Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
8.9/10
Glen Waverley Secondary College
SecondaryGovernment
8.4/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.