Orbost VIC Property Investment

East Gippsland · 3888 · Score: 50/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$355K
Rental Yield
5.1%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$350/wk
Median Unit Price
$346K
Population
2,264
Days on Market
104 days
Annual Growth
2.3%

Orbost Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$478/night
Occupancy Rate
48%
Est. Annual Revenue
$84K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Orbost VIC Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the median house price of approximately $355,000 keeps the market in the affordable‑to‑mid‑range bracket, supporting a neutral stance.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: around $355,000 (approximate) - Median unit price: $345,872 (exact) - Median weekly rent: $350 (exact)

No growth‑rate or days‑on‑market figures are supplied, so we cannot quantify price momentum or liquidity. The price level suggests a market that is still accessible for first‑home buyers and investors, while sellers must price competitively to attract interest.

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## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: *data not provided* - Median weekly rent: $350 - Gross rental yield (house): $350 × 52 ÷ $355,000 ≈ 5.1 %

Because vacancy and demand‑rating numbers are missing, the analysis relies on the 5.1 % gross yield, which sits in the modest‑to‑attractive range for regional Victoria.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: *data not provided* - STR occupancy: *data not provided* - Estimated annual STR revenue: *cannot be calculated*

With no short‑term rental metrics available, long‑term rental (LTR) remains the clearer income path for Orbost at present.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects / transport / employment: *no data supplied*

The absence of specific infrastructure or major employer information means we cannot identify concrete demand catalysts or constraints beyond the existing residential market.

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## 6. Bull Case If Orbost were to gain a new infrastructure project or tourism boost, the following scenario illustrates upside potential:

MetricCurrentBull‑case (+10 % price, +5 % rent)
Median house price≈ $355,000$390,500
Median weekly rent$350$367.50
Gross yield (house)5.1 %4.9 % (higher price offsets rent rise)
Capital growth (annual)–10 %

A 10 % price lift would deliver solid capital gains, while a modest 5 % rent increase would keep yields respectable.

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Detail (with numbers where possible) | |------|--------------------------------------| | Vacancy risk | No vacancy figure supplied; a rise above the regional average could erode the 5.1 % yield. | | Single‑employer dependency | No employer data; if the local economy relies on a single industry, any downturn could impact rent and price stability. | | Supply pipeline | No information on new builds; an unexpected influx of units could push prices down and increase vacancy. | | Rate sensitivity | At a median price of ≈ $355,000, a 1 % rise in interest rates adds roughly $3,550 to annual financing costs, pressuring cash flow. |

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## 8. The Play - Entry range: around $355,000 for houses (or $345,872 for units). - Minimum yield target: 5 % gross (the current house yield is ~5.1 %). - Watch signals: announced infrastructure projects, new employer announcements, any published vacancy data, and changes in regional interest‑rate spreads. - Recommended strategy: Acquire at the current price level, lock in a financing structure that tolerates modest rate hikes, and hold for capital appreciation while collecting a 5 %+ gross rental yield. Re‑assess if vacancy data emerges or if a significant growth driver is announced.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
▲Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
▲Active development pipeline (1993 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
2.9%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.6%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.3%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.2% + 10yr CAGR 5.4%

Headwinds
  • −Slow market (104 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
  • −High supply pipeline (1993 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

2 green4 yellow10 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
104 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
350 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.23 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
5.41 high impact
1yr Price Growth
2.25 medium impact
Population Growth
0.44 high impact
Median Household Income
892 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
4.4 medium impact
Distance to CBD
308.11 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
2 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
75.7 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
5.13 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
3.63 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

326

2020

543

2021

476

2022

303

2023

345

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 3888

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 2 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

3,502

Education (IEO)

3/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

2/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Orbost VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $350/wk median rent for Orbost. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Orbost Community College
PrimaryGovernment
No data
Orbost Community College
SecondaryGovernment
No data

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.