Prahran Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Prahran VIC Investment Analysis
BUY
— 2.5% gross yield on a $1,600,000 median.
THE MARKET
Median house price in Prahran sits at $1,600,000 with 26 days on market and a 2.0% vacancy rate. This is a balanced market right now.
- **Median house:** $1,600,000 | **Units:** $550,000 - **Gross yield:** 2.5% | **Net yield:** 1.0% - **Vacancy:** 2.0% (worsening) | **Rental demand:** High - **5yr price growth:** -1.7%/yr | **3yr forecast:** -1.9%/yr - **Days on market:** 26 (stable)
STR potential: $210/night at 70% occupancy = ~$53,655/yr gross. That's a **32% premium** over long-term rent — but factor in higher management costs and council rules.
BULL CASE
If Prahran maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.4%, median prices could reach $1,840,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
Notable infrastructure: **Bangs Street, Prahran Housing Development** (completed). Plus 3 more projects in the pipeline.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Prahran pull back 10-15% from $1,600,000, with vacancy rising to 3.6% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
WHAT TO DO
Prahran presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.5% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current correction phase of the market cycle.
- Entry range: $1,440,000 – $1,760,000 - Minimum yield to target: 4.5% - Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Prahran VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $780/wk median rent for Prahran. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.