Templestowe Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Templestowe VIC Investment Analysis
SUBURB INVESTMENT BRIEF — Templestowe, VIC 3106 LGA: Generated: 2026-04-11 | Estait AI Analysis
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Overall Score: 58/100 — Hold
Templestowe rates as "Hold" due to weak growth indicators.
Templestowe sits in a correction phase of the property cycle with an overall investment score of 58 out of 100. This assessment reflects the suburb's growth trajectory, rental market health, economic resilience, and infrastructure positioning within the VIC market.
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MARKET POSITION
Median house price: $1,600,000 Median unit price: $421,862 Median weekly rent: $850/week Days on market: 51 days (worsening)
Templestowe commands a premium position in the VIC property landscape. Properties are spending an average of 51 days on market, pointing to softer demand conditions.
Comparable suburbs: - Fitzroy North (VIC): Median $1,885,000, yield 0.0%, 1yr growth 0.0% - Forest Hill (VIC): Median $1,325,000, yield 0.0%, 1yr growth 0.0% - Garden City (VIC): Median $1,798,300, yield 0.0%, 1yr growth 0.0%
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RENTAL MARKET
Gross rental yield: 2.8% Net rental yield: 1.3% Vacancy rate: 2.9% (worsening) Rental demand: Moderate
The rental market in Templestowe is characterised by moderate demand with a vacancy rate of 2.9%, which is near the national average of approximately 2.5%. Vacancy is trending worsening, warranting careful monitoring.
Short-term rental data indicates a median nightly rate of $175 with an estimated occupancy of 66%. This translates to an estimated annual STR revenue of $42,158 before expenses. Long-term rental at $44,200/year may offer comparable or better risk-adjusted returns given lower management overhead.
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GROWTH OUTLOOK
Population growth (5yr): 1.3% Price CAGR (5yr): -2.0% Capital growth (3yr forecast): -2.2% Supply pipeline: Moderate
Development activity consistent with long-term averages
Infrastructure & transport: - No major infrastructure projects identified. Transport: Standard suburban transport access
If Templestowe maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.0%, median prices could reach $1,840,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
At current trajectory (1.3% growth, 2.9% vacancy, 2.8% yield), Templestowe offers steady returns with moderate capital appreciation in line with broader market trends.
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RISK ASSESSMENT
Market cycle position: Correction Vacancy risk: Moderate
Key risks: - Negative price growth suggests a softening market
Interest rate sensitivity (est. monthly repayment on median house price, 80% LVR): - At 7%: $8,516/month - At 8%: $9,392/month - At 9%: $10,299/month
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Templestowe pull back 10-15% from $1,600,000, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
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LIVEABILITY
Affluence rating: Very High Safety score: 7.9/10 Walkability: 50/100 Owner-occupied: 35%
Schools: - Templestowe Public School (primary): Rating 10.0/10 - Templestowe East Public School (primary): Rating 9.5/10 - Templestowe West Public School (primary): Rating 9.0/10 - Templestowe High School (secondary): Rating 10.0/10
Templestowe is a highly sought-after residential area with good safety ratings and moderate walkability. The 35% owner-occupier rate indicates a predominantly rental market.
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RECOMMENDATION — HOLD
Templestowe offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a correction phase with moderate vacancy risk.
Conditions: Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.
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KEY ACTION ITEMS
1. Shortlist properties in the $1,440,000 - 1,760,000 range for deeper analysis 2. Verify current vacancy and rental rates with local property managers 3. Assess STR regulatory environment with local council 4. Model cash flow at 7%+ interest rates before committing 5. Engage a buyer's agent with Templestowe market expertise for off-market opportunities
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.