Busselton WA Property Investment
Capel · 6280 · Score: 49/100 · Caution
Busselton Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Busselton WA Investment Brief
CAUTION — 3.5% gross yield on a $1,102,387 median.
THE MARKET
Busselton has compounded at 2.5%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $974,349 in 2021 is worth $1,102,387 today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,247,250 by 2031.
- Median house: $1,102,387 | Units: $778,890
- Gross yield: 3.5% | Net yield: 2.0%
- 5yr price CAGR: 2.5%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 1,838 | Owner-occupier rate: 70% | Affluence: Above Average
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $750/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $381/night | Occupancy: 38%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$52,891/yr
- vs long-term rent: $39,000/yr (+36% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Visitor Centre station 0.9km away
BULL CASE
If Busselton maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $1,267,745 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Busselton pull back 10-15% from $1,102,387, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Girrawheen (WA): $790,000 median, 4.3% yield, 16.5% 1yr growth
- Mirrabooka (WA): $902,236 median, 3.9% yield, 13.2% 1yr growth
- Champion Lakes (WA): $858,389 median, 4.5% yield, 3.4% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Busselton carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A recovery market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.
- Entry range: $992,148 – $1,212,626
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 2.5% + 10yr CAGR 3.9%
- +Above-average population growth (1.7%/yr)
- −High supply pipeline (838 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-05
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
92
2020
198
2021
132
2022
132
2023
284
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 6280
Decile 5 of 10 — Average
Population
30,585
Education (IEO)
4/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
7/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Busselton WA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $750/wk median rent for Busselton. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.