Harrisdale WA Property Investment

THE MARKET

Harrisdale has compounded at 10.1%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $559,387 in 2021 is worth $905,000 today. Properties are sitting on market for 12 days (sellers have the leverage). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,464,149 by 2031.

- **Median house:** $905,000 | **Units:** $140,571 - **Gross yield:** 4.4% | **Net yield:** 2.9% - **5yr price CAGR:** 10.1%/yr | **3yr forecast:** 11.3%/yr - **Population:** 20,133 | **Owner-occupier rate:** 28% | **Affluence:** Above Average

- **Supply pipeline:** Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

- **Vacancy:** 1.5% (improving) | **Rental demand:** High - **Median weekly rent:** $760/wk | **Days on market:** 12 (improving) - Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

- **Median nightly rate:** $165/night | **Occupancy:** 66% - **Estimated annual STR gross:** ~$39,748/yr - **vs long-term rent:** $39,520/yr (comparable — LTR offers simpler management)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record. - **Transport:** Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Harrisdale maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.0%, median prices could reach $1,040,750 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Harrisdale pull back 10-15% from $905,000, with vacancy rising to 2.7% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

- No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

- **Albany** (WA): $855,000 median, 3.6% yield, 17.1% 1yr growth - **Alexander Heights** (WA): $825,000 median, 4.7% yield, 13.2% 1yr growth - **Alkimos** (WA): $755,000 median, 4.8% yield, 12.7% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Harrisdale presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 4.4% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current growth phase of the market cycle.

- Entry range: $814,500 – $995,500 - Minimum gross yield to target: 4.7% - Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.