Kardinya WA Property Investment

Fremantle · 6163 · Score: 66/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.28M
Rental Yield
3.4%
Vacancy Rate
0.9%
Median Weekly Rent
$850/wk
Median Unit Price
$570K
Population
9,137
Days on Market
8 days
Annual Growth
17.7%

Kardinya Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$149.5/night
Occupancy Rate
%
Est. Annual Revenue
$35K
AI Investment Analysis

Kardinya WA Investment Brief

BUY3.4% gross yield on a $1,285,000 median.

THE MARKET

Kardinya has compounded at 1.8%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,175,342 in 2021 is worth $1,285,000 today. Properties are sitting on market for 8 days (sellers have the leverage). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,404,889 by 2031.

  • Median house: $1,285,000 | Units: $569,500
  • Gross yield: 3.4% | Net yield: 1.9%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 1.8%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 9,137 | Owner-occupier rate: 70% | Affluence: High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 0.9% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
  • Median weekly rent: $850/wk | Days on market: 8 (improving)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • METRONET (Perth Rail Expansion) (Under Construction)
  • Perth City Deal (Under Delivery)
  • Transport: Murdoch station 3.4km away

BULL CASE

If Kardinya maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $1,477,750 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Kardinya pull back 10-15% from $1,285,000, with vacancy rising to 1.6% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Guildford (WA): $1,100,000 median, 3.7% yield, 18.3% 1yr growth
  • Marangaroo (WA): $928,000 median, 4.2% yield, 8.3% 1yr growth
  • Alexander Heights (WA): $920,000 median, 4.5% yield, 12.6% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Kardinya presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.4% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current recovery phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $1,156,500$1,413,500
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Inner/middle ring location (13.8km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
Active development pipeline (1206 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
3.3%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.0%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.6%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 1.8% + 10yr CAGR 4.4%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (1.7%/yr)
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 0.9%) — upward price pressure
  • +Fast sales (8 days avg) — strong buyer demand
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (1206 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

7 green6 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
0.9 high impact
Days on Market
8 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
850 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
1.76 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.39 high impact
1yr Price Growth
17.72 medium impact
Population Growth
1.67 high impact
Median Household Income
1638 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
6.7 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.3 medium impact
Distance to CBD
13.83 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
7 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
69.8 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.44 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.94 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

196

2020

138

2021

156

2022

236

2023

480

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 6163

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 6 of 10 — Average

Population

54,704

Education (IEO)

7/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

5/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Kardinya WA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $850/wk median rent for Kardinya. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.