Tom Price WA Property Investment
Upper Gascoyne · 6751 · Score: 61/100 · Hold
Tom Price Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.
Tom Price WA Investment Brief
HOLD — $816,549 (pending peer validation) median with 16.9%/yr growth over 5 years.
THE MARKET
Tom Price has compounded at 16.9%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $816,549 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 167 days (buyers have negotiating room).
- Median house: $816,549 (pending peer validation) | Units: $512,984
- Gross yield: 11.5% | Net yield: 10.0%
- 5yr price CAGR: 16.9%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 2,910 | Owner-occupier rate: 10% | Affluence: Above Average
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $1,800/wk | Days on market: 167 (worsening)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $344/night | Occupancy: 16%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$19,714/yr
- vs long-term rent: $93,600/yr (comparable — LTR offers simpler management)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Tom Price maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $939,031 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Tom Price pull back 10-15% from $816,549, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Jurien Bay (WA): $759,381 median, 3.4% yield, 14.9% 1yr growth
- Toodyay (WA): $620,000 median, 4.4% yield, 16.6% 1yr growth
- Dongara (WA): $710,000 median, 4.0% yield, 29.9% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Tom Price offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a cooling phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 12.0%.
- Entry range: $734,894 – $898,204
- Minimum gross yield to target: 11.8%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
low confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 16.9% + 10yr CAGR 21.4%
- −Population decline (-4.0%/yr) — demand headwind
- −Slow market (167 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
0
2020
1
2021
1
2022
1
2023
0
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 6751
Decile 7 of 10 — Average
Population
4,007
Education (IEO)
2/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
4/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Tom Price WA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $1800/wk median rent for Tom Price. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Analyse a Property in Tom Price
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.