Yokine WA Property Investment

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: $1,180,000 - Median unit price: $842,500 - 1‑yr price growth: 23.2% (very strong upside) - 5‑yr CAGR: 2.1% per year (steady long‑term rise) - 3‑yr growth forecast: 13.5% (expected continuation) - Days on market: N/A (no data to gauge buyer‑seller balance)

Signal: The 23.2% annual jump indicates heavy buyer demand and limited supply, favouring sellers in the short term. The forecasted 13.5% growth over the next three years suggests the market will remain tilted toward capital appreciation rather than price stagnation.

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## 3. Rental Market - Median weekly rent: $850 / wk - Gross rental yield: 3.8%

*Vacancy rate* and *demand rating* are not supplied, so we cannot quantify those metrics.

Implication: A 3.8% gross yield is modest but acceptable in a high‑growth suburb. If vacancy remains low (as is typical in fast‑growing areas), the rental stream should comfortably service most mortgages.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity No STR data (nightly rate, occupancy, annual revenue) are provided.

Conclusion: With no evidence of a strong short‑term market, long‑term rental (LTR) appears the safer default strategy for Yokine at present.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers The data set does not list specific projects, transport upgrades, or major employers.

Interpretation: Absence of information does not imply lack of drivers; however, investors should verify local council plans, proximity to major employment hubs, and transport links before finalising a purchase.

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## 6. Bull Case Assume the 3‑year forecast of 13.5% materialises:

• House price: $1,180,000 × 1.135 ≈ $1,339,000 (≈ $159,000 upside)
• Unit price: $842,500 × 1.135 ≈ $956,000 (≈ $113,500 upside)

If rental yields hold at 3.8% and vacancy stays low, cash flow improves alongside capital gains, delivering a compelling total return.

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Metric / Note | Potential Impact | |------|----------------|------------------| | Vacancy risk | Vacancy rate not disclosed – could be higher than expected, eroding the 3.8% yield | | Interest‑rate sensitivity | Higher rates increase mortgage costs, squeezing net cash flow | | Supply pipeline | No data on new developments; a surge in supply could pressure prices and rents | | Data gaps | Missing vacancy, demand rating, STR, and infrastructure details limit full risk assessment |

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## 8. The Play - Entry price range: $842,500 (units) – $1,180,000 (houses) - Minimum yield target: ≥ 3.8% gross (to match the suburb’s current rental return) - Watch signals: emerging vacancy data, interest‑rate moves, council‑approved housing projects, and any deviation from the 13.5% 3‑year growth forecast. - Recommended strategy: Acquire a property now to lock in the 23.2% recent price surge, aim for a unit or house that can deliver at least the 3.8% gross yield, and monitor the above signals for timing of any subsequent purchases or exits.