Curtin ACT Property Investment

THE MARKET

Median house price in Curtin sits at $1,400,000 with 62 days on market and a 1.7% vacancy rate. This is a tight rental market right now.

- **Median house:** $1,400,000 | **Units:** $815,008 - **Gross yield:** 2.7% | **Net yield:** 1.2% - **Vacancy:** 1.7% (worsening) | **Rental demand:** High - **5yr price growth:** -0.9%/yr | **3yr forecast:** -1.0%/yr - **Days on market:** 62 (worsening)

STR potential: $170/night at 67% occupancy = ~$41,574/yr gross. Long-term at $38,220/yr may be simpler with comparable returns.

BULL CASE

If Curtin maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.2%, median prices could reach $1,610,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Curtin pull back 10-15% from $1,400,000, with vacancy rising to 3.1% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

WHAT TO DO

Curtin presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.7% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current correction phase of the market cycle.

- Entry range: $1,260,000 – $1,540,000 - Minimum yield to target: 4.5% - Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.