Dickson ACT Property Investment

Unincorporated ACT · 2602 · Score: 74/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.11M
Rental Yield
3.5%
Vacancy Rate
2.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$745/wk
Median Unit Price
$619K
Population
3,292
Days on Market
65 days
Annual Growth
-4.0%

Dickson Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$410/night
Occupancy Rate
52%
Est. Annual Revenue
$78K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Dickson ACT Investment Brief

BUY — 3.5% gross yield on a $1,115,000 median.

THE MARKET

Dickson has compounded at 3.2%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $952,525 in 2021 is worth $1,115,000 today. Properties are sitting on market for 65 days (buyers have negotiating room). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,305,189 by 2031.

  • Median house: $1,115,000 | Units: $619,223
  • Gross yield: 3.5% | Net yield: 2.0%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 3.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 2.9%/yr
  • Population: 3,292 | Owner-occupier rate: 60% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Building approvals easing (4928/yr in 2020 → 2831/yr in 2025) — less new competing supply entering the market

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.0% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $745/wk | Days on market: 65 (worsening)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $410/night | Occupancy: 52%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$77,807/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $38,740/yr (+101% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • ACT Light Rail Stage 2A (Under Construction)
  • ACT Light Rail Stage 2B (Woden) (Announced)
  • Transport: Dickson Interchange station 0.6km away

BULL CASE

If Dickson maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.4%, median prices could reach $1,282,250 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Dickson pull back 10-15% from $1,115,000, with vacancy rising to 3.6% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Macquarie (ACT): $1,025,250 median, 3.3% yield, 0.6% 1yr growth
  • Florey (ACT): $970,000 median, 3.5% yield, 16.4% 1yr growth
  • Holt (ACT): $820,000 median, 4.2% yield, 2.6% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Dickson presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.5% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current cooling phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $1,003,500 – $1,226,500
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
▼High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
▲Inner/middle ring location (3.3km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
—Mixed tenure (38% renters) — transitional suburb profile
▲Active development pipeline (22865 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
3.4%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.1%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.7%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.2% + 10yr CAGR 4.3%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (2.5%/yr) driving demand
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.0%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • −Slow market (65 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
  • −High supply pipeline (22865 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

6 green4 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2 high impact
Days on Market
65 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
745 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.23 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.3 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-4 medium impact
Population Growth
2.55 high impact
Median Household Income
2337 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.7 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.3 medium impact
Distance to CBD
3.28 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
10 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
59.8 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.47 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.97 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

4,928

2020

5,078

2021

6,172

2022

3,856

2023

2,831

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2602

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

34,540

Education (IEO)

10/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

5/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Dickson ACT data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $745/wk median rent for Dickson. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

North Ainslie Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
8.8/10
Ainslie School
PrimaryGovernment
8.7/10
Lyneham High School
SecondaryGovernment
8.8/10
Dickson College
SecondaryGovernment
8.1/10
Gungahlin College
SecondaryGovernment
7.2/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.