Whitlam Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Whitlam ACT Investment Analysis
SUBURB INVESTMENT BRIEF — Whitlam, ACT 2611 LGA: Generated: 2026-04-11 | Estait AI Analysis
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Overall Score: 76/100 — Buy
Whitlam rates as "Buy" due to strong growth fundamentals, tight rental market (0.3% vacancy), attractive 9.1% gross yield.
Whitlam sits in a growth phase of the property cycle with an overall investment score of 76 out of 100. This assessment reflects the suburb's growth trajectory, rental market health, economic resilience, and infrastructure positioning within the ACT market.
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MARKET POSITION
Median house price: $536,428 Median unit price: $259,821 Median weekly rent: $940/week Days on market: 24 days (improving)
Whitlam offers an accessible entry point in the ACT property landscape. Properties are spending an average of 24 days on market, indicating strong buyer competition.
Comparable suburbs: - Belconnen (ACT): Median $603,000, yield 4.8%, 1yr growth -7.9% - Braddon (ACT): Median $570,000, yield 5.4%, 1yr growth -22.2% - Greenway (ACT): Median $560,000, yield 5.0%, 1yr growth 11.3%
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RENTAL MARKET
Gross rental yield: 9.1% Net rental yield: 7.6% Vacancy rate: 0.3% (improving) Rental demand: Very High
The rental market in Whitlam is characterised by very high demand with a vacancy rate of 0.3%, which is well below the national average of approximately 2.5%. Vacancy is trending improving, supporting landlord pricing power.
Short-term rental data indicates a median nightly rate of $170 with an estimated occupancy of 67%. This translates to an estimated annual STR revenue of $41,574 before expenses. Long-term rental at $48,880/year may offer comparable or better risk-adjusted returns given lower management overhead.
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GROWTH OUTLOOK
Population growth (5yr): 1.9% Price CAGR (5yr): 6.7% Capital growth (3yr forecast): 7.6% Supply pipeline: Low
Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
Infrastructure & transport: - No major infrastructure projects identified. Transport: Standard suburban transport access
If Whitlam maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $616,892 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
At current trajectory (1.9% growth, 0.3% vacancy, 9.1% yield), Whitlam offers steady returns with moderate capital appreciation in line with broader market trends.
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RISK ASSESSMENT
Market cycle position: Growth Vacancy risk: Low
Key risks: - No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
Interest rate sensitivity (est. monthly repayment on median house price, 80% LVR): - At 7%: $2,855/month - At 8%: $3,149/month - At 9%: $3,453/month
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Whitlam pull back 10-15% from $536,428, with vacancy rising to 0.5% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
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LIVEABILITY
Affluence rating: Very High Safety score: 5.5/10 Walkability: 35/100 Owner-occupied: 35%
Schools: - Whitlam Public School (primary): Rating 9.7/10 - Whitlam East Public School (primary): Rating 9.2/10 - Whitlam West Public School (primary): Rating 8.7/10 - Whitlam High School (secondary): Rating 9.9/10
Whitlam is a highly sought-after residential area with average safety ratings and limited walkability. The 35% owner-occupier rate indicates a predominantly rental market.
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RECOMMENDATION — BUY
Whitlam presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels.
Conditions: Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 9.1% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current growth phase of the market cycle.
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KEY ACTION ITEMS
1. Shortlist properties in the $482,785 - 590,071 range for deeper analysis 2. Verify current vacancy and rental rates with local property managers 3. Assess STR regulatory environment with local council 4. Model cash flow at 7%+ interest rates before committing 5. Engage a buyer's agent with Whitlam market expertise for off-market opportunities
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.