Bradbury NSW Property Investment

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: $986,283 - Median unit price: $629,107 - 1‑yr price growth: 7.2 % (up‑trend) - 5‑yr CAGR: ‑17.1 %/yr (significant past decline) - 3‑yr growth forecast: 13.5 % (projected rebound) - Days on market: *Data not supplied*

Signal: Buyers benefit from the 7.2 % recent price rise and the forecasted 13.5 % upside, while sellers can command higher prices but must be aware that the market is still recovering from a steep 5‑year decline.

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## 3. Rental Market - Median weekly rent: $620 / wk - Gross rental yield: 3.3 % - Vacancy rate: *Data not supplied* - Demand rating: *Data not supplied*

Interpretation: A 3.3 % yield places Bradbury in the moderate‑return bracket. Without vacancy data we cannot gauge tightness, but the yield suggests stable cash flow rather than high‑growth rental income.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: *Data not supplied* - STR occupancy: *Data not supplied* - Estimated annual STR revenue: *Data not supplied*

Conclusion: With no STR metrics available, long‑term rental (LTR) remains the clearer path for investors at this time.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects, transport upgrades, employment base: *Data not supplied*

Implication: In the absence of specific infrastructure information, the forecasted 13.5 % 3‑year growth likely reflects broader regional dynamics rather than a single local catalyst.

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## 6. Bull Case If the 3‑year forecast of 13.5 % materialises and price growth continues at that pace:

• House price upside: $986,283 × 1.135 ≈ $1,119,000 (≈ + $132,700)
• Unit price upside: $629,107 × 1.135 ≈ $714,000 (≈ + $84,900)

Capital gains of this magnitude, combined with the existing 3.3 % yield, would lift total returns into a strong investment tier.

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Quantified aspect (from data) | Comment | |------|------------------------------|---------| | Price volatility | 5‑yr CAGR ‑17.1 %/yr | Past steep decline shows the market can swing sharply. | | Yield compression | Current yield 3.3 % | Any rise in median prices without rent growth will push yields lower. | | Vacancy uncertainty | Vacancy rate not provided | Lack of data makes it hard to assess rental‑income stability. | | Supply pipeline | No data on new dwellings | If a large number of units enter the market, yields could fall. | | Interest‑rate sensitivity | No specific rate data | Higher borrowing costs would erode the modest 3.3 % yield. |

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## 8. The Play - Entry price range: - Units: around $629,107 (median) - Houses: around $986,283 (median) - Minimum yield target: ≥ 3.3 % (to match current market average) - Watch signals: - Any published days‑on‑market figure – a drop would signal stronger seller power. - Release of vacancy statistics – a low vacancy would support yield stability. - Updates on regional infrastructure or employment projects – could accelerate the 13.5 % growth forecast. - Recommended strategy: Acquire at or below median price, lock in a 3.3 %+ yield, and hold for 3‑5 years to capture the projected 13.5 % capital appreciation while monitoring the above signals for any shift toward a buy or avoid stance.