Campsie NSW Property Investment

Canterbury-Bankstown · 2194 · Score: 61/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$1.87M
Rental Yield
2.3%
Vacancy Rate
1.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$830/wk
Median Unit Price
$718K
Population
26,132
Days on Market
36 days
Annual Growth
1.5%
AI Investment Analysis

Campsie NSW Investment Brief

HOLD2.3% gross yield on a $1,865,686 median.

THE MARKET

Median house price in Campsie sits at $1,865,686 with 36 days on market and a 1.6% vacancy rate. This is a tight rental market right now.

  • Median house: $1,865,686 | Units: $718,255
  • Gross yield: 2.3% | Net yield: 0.8%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 0.0%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 26,132 | Owner-occupier rate: 44% | Affluence: Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.6% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $830/wk | Days on market: 36 (stable)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Sydney Metro City & Southwest (Operational)
  • Sydney Gateway (Under Construction)
  • WestConnex Motorway (Operational)
  • New Intercity Fleet (NSW Trains) (Under Delivery)
  • Transport: Well-connected inner-city location

BULL CASE

If Campsie maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.1%, median prices could reach $2,145,539 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Campsie pull back 10-15% from $1,865,686, with vacancy rising to 2.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Canley Vale (NSW): $1,345,042 median, 2.7% yield, 30.0% 1yr growth
  • Holroyd (NSW): $1,497,415 median, 2.5% yield, 4.2% 1yr growth
  • Berala (NSW): $1,695,375 median, 2.3% yield, 5.1% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Campsie offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $1,679,117$2,052,255
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Rapidly gentrifying9.0/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Strong capital growth (34.0% CAGR) — above national average
Inner/middle ring location (10.9km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
High renter base (53%) — room for tenure upgrade as area improves
Active development pipeline (9190 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
14.8%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
13.6%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
11.8%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 34.0% + 10yr CAGR 4.5%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (9190 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green5 yellow7 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.6 high impact
Days on Market
36 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
830 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
0 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.46 high impact
1yr Price Growth
1.5 medium impact
Population Growth
1.26 high impact
Median Household Income
1497 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
8 medium impact
Public Transport Score
72 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.6 medium impact
Distance to CBD
10.9 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
2 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
43.5 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.31 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.81 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

2,412

2020

1,873

2021

1,985

2022

1,502

2023

1,418

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2194

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 1 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

26,132

Education (IEO)

7/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

1/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Campsie NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $830/wk median rent for Campsie. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Campsie PS
PrimaryGovernment
6.3/10
Canterbury GHS
SecondaryGovernment
7.4/10
Canterbury BHS
SecondaryGovernment
6.1/10
Kingsgrove NHS
SecondaryGovernment
No data

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.