Dundas Valley NSW Property Investment
Parramatta · 2117 · Score: 67/100 · Buy
Dundas Valley Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.
Dundas Valley NSW Investment Brief
BUY — 2.4% gross yield on a $1,530,000–$1,780,336 (estimated range — market estimates vary, do NOT quote a single number) median.
THE MARKET
Dundas Valley has compounded at 5.2%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $1,530,000–$1,780,336 (estimated range — market estimates vary, do NOT quote a single number) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 47 days (roughly balanced conditions).
- Median house: $1,530,000–$1,780,336 (estimated range — market estimates vary, do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $1,255,000
- Gross yield: 2.4% | Net yield: 0.9%
- 5yr price CAGR: 5.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 4.6%/yr
- Population: 5,875 | Owner-occupier rate: 61% | Affluence: Very High
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Building approvals steady (~3215/yr in 2025, 13861 total across 5 yrs on record) — supply broadly tracking demand
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 1.6% (improving) | Rental demand: High
- Median weekly rent: $850/wk | Days on market: 47 (worsening)
- Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $580/night | Occupancy: 40%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$84,753/yr
- vs long-term rent: $44,200/yr (+92% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- Sydney Metro West (Under Construction)
- Parramatta Light Rail Stage 1 (Operational)
- Parramatta Light Rail Stage 2 (Under Procurement)
- WestConnex Motorway (Operational)
- Transport: Carlingford station 1.7km away
BULL CASE
If Dundas Valley maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.1%, median prices could reach $2,104,500 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Dundas Valley pull back 10-15% from $1,830,000, with vacancy rising to 2.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Cabramatta (NSW): $1,427,000 median, 2.4% yield, 11.7% 1yr growth
- Cabramatta West (NSW): $1,387,500 median, 2.5% yield, 7.8% 1yr growth
- Liverpool (NSW): $1,297,500 median, 2.6% yield, 1.9% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Dundas Valley presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.4% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current recovery phase of the market cycle.
- Entry range: $1,647,000 – $2,013,000
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 5.2% + 10yr CAGR 8.5%
- +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
- +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
- −High supply pipeline (13861 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
3,150
2020
2,410
2021
2,761
2022
2,325
2023
3,215
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2117
Decile 6 of 10 — Average
Population
22,185
Education (IEO)
9/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
6/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Dundas Valley NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $850/wk median rent for Dundas Valley. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.