Junee NSW Property Investment

Junee · 2663 · Score: 50/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$484K
Rental Yield
4.5%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$420/wk
Median Unit Price
N/A
Population
5,066
Days on Market
111 days
Annual Growth
8.2%

Junee Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$512/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$75K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Junee NSW Investment Brief

HOLD — 4.5% gross yield on a $484,004 median.

THE MARKET

Junee has compounded at 4.1%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $395,909 in 2021 is worth $484,004 today. Properties are sitting on market for 111 days (buyers have negotiating room). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $591,701 by 2031.

  • Median house: $484,004 | Units: $0
  • Gross yield: 4.5% | Net yield: 3.0%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 4.1%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 5,066 | Owner-occupier rate: 68% | Affluence: Low
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $420/wk | Days on market: 111 (worsening)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $512/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$74,797/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $21,840/yr (+242% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • HumeLink Transmission Line (Under Procurement)
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Junee maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $556,605 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Junee pull back 10-15% from $484,004, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Clandulla (NSW): $467,500 median, 4.0% yield, -11.6% 1yr growth
  • Smithtown (NSW): $518,420 median, 3.5% yield, -4.3% 1yr growth
  • Dareton (NSW): $340,007 median, 5.3% yield, -8.0% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Junee offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a cooling phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 5.0%.

  • Entry range: $435,604 – $532,404
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.8%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.5/10
▲Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
—Moderate capital growth (4.1% CAGR)
▲Active development pipeline (157 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
▲Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
3.1%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.8%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.5%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 4.1% + 10yr CAGR 4.7%

Headwinds
  • −Slow market (111 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
  • −High supply pipeline (157 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

3 green7 yellow6 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
111 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
420 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
4.07 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.73 high impact
1yr Price Growth
8.2 medium impact
Population Growth
0.36 high impact
Median Household Income
1375 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.1 medium impact
Public Transport Score
7 medium impact
School Zone Quality
4.7 medium impact
Distance to CBD
350.98 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
2 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
68.2 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
4.51 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
3.01 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

22

2020

27

2021

56

2022

33

2023

19

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2663

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 1 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

5,281

Education (IEO)

1/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

2/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Junee NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $420/wk median rent for Junee. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Junee PS
PrimaryGovernment
4.3/10
Junee HS
SecondaryGovernment
4.3/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.