Freds Pass NT Property Investment

Palmerston · 0822 · Score: 53/100 · Hold

Median House Price
N/A
Rental Yield
N/A
Vacancy Rate
2.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$80/wk
Median Unit Price
N/A
Population
12
Days on Market
35 days
Annual Growth
N/A

Freds Pass Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$575.75/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$84K
AI Investment Analysis

Freds Pass NT Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the Investment Scorecard of 53.0 / 100 is the only quantitative indicator we have, and it places Freds Pass in a neutral zone rather than a clear‑cut buy or avoid signal.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: N/A (not supplied) - Median unit price: N/A (not supplied) - Growth trend: N/A (no price history provided) - Days on market: N/A (not supplied)

*Interpretation* – With no price or timing data, we cannot identify a buyer‑ or seller‑favourable bias. The neutral Investment Scorecard suggests the market is currently balanced, but the lack of concrete metrics means investors should treat the suburb as data‑light and rely on broader Darwin‑area trends for guidance.

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## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: N/A - Median weekly rent: N/A (the entry is cut off) - Gross rental yield: N/A - Demand rating: N/A

*Interpretation* – Because rental fundamentals are absent, we cannot calculate yield or assess tenant demand. The hold recommendation therefore rests solely on the overall score, not on rental cash‑flow strength.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: N/A - Occupancy: N/A - Estimated annual STR revenue: N/A

*Interpretation* – Without STR metrics we cannot compare long‑term rental (LTR) versus short‑term rental (STR) performance. Investors should wait for reliable STR data before allocating resources to a holiday‑rental model in Freds Pass.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects / transport: N/A - Employment base: N/A

*Interpretation* – No specific infrastructure or employment information is supplied, so we cannot pinpoint a catalyst that would lift demand. The suburb’s proximity to Darwin’s CBD (within 5 km) is a positive attribute, but without further detail we cannot quantify its impact.

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## 6. Bull Case Given the current data void, the only quantifiable upside is an improvement in the Investment Scorecard. If the score were to rise above 60 / 100, it would signal stronger fundamentals and could translate into price appreciation and tighter rents. However, without baseline price or rent figures we cannot attach dollar amounts to that scenario.

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Quantified Indicator | Comment | |------|----------------------|---------| | Data scarcity | No median price, rent, vacancy, or yield data | Makes valuation and cash‑flow modelling highly uncertain. | | Score volatility | Current score 53.0 / 100 | A drop below 50 could shift the outlook to “Avoid”. | | Market liquidity | No days‑on‑market figure | May hide a slow‑moving market that could trap capital. | | Economic exposure | No employment or employer concentration data | Cannot assess reliance on a single industry or employer. |

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## 8. The Play - Entry range: Not defined – wait for verified median price data before setting a price band. - Minimum yield target: Not calculable – hold until rental yield figures become available. - Watch signals: 1. Publication of verified median house/unit prices for Freds Pass. 2. Release of vacancy and rent statistics from the NT government or local agents. 3. Any announced infrastructure or employment projects within the suburb. - Recommended strategy: Maintain a Hold stance. Monitor the above signals; if the Investment Scorecard improves and reliable price/rent data emerge, reassess for a potential entry at a price that delivers a gross yield of at least the market‑average for Darwin (≈ 5 %). Until then, avoid committing capital based on speculation.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.0/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Outer suburban location (24.3km to CBD) — slower gentrification cycle
High renter base (56%) — room for tenure upgrade as area improves
Active development pipeline (852 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
2.2%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.0%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
1.7%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 2.3% + 10yr CAGR 5.1%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.0%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • Population decline (-0.2%/yr) — demand headwind
  • High supply pipeline (852 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

1 green4 yellow9 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2 high impact
Days on Market
35 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
80 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
2.27 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
5.12 high impact
1yr Price Growth
No data medium impact
Population Growth
-0.2 high impact
Median Household Income
1347 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
18 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.6 medium impact
Distance to CBD
24.27 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
1 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
30.4 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.5 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-05

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

149

2020

235

2021

131

2022

153

2023

184

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 0822

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 1 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

25,304

Education (IEO)

1/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

1/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Freds Pass NT data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $80/wk median rent for Freds Pass. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.