Moil NT Property Investment

Darwin · 0810 · Score: 71/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$645K
Rental Yield
5.3%
Vacancy Rate
2.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$655/wk
Median Unit Price
$458K
Population
2,000
Days on Market
35 days
Annual Growth
15.7%

Moil Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$465.25/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$68K
AI Investment Analysis

Moil NT Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict We recommend a "Buy" for Moil, NT, with the single most important number justifying this decision being the 15.7% 1-year price growth, indicating a strong recovery in the market.

## 2. Market Overview The median house price in Moil, NT, is $645,000, while the median unit price is $458,048. The market is experiencing a growth trend, with a 1-year price growth of 15.7% and a 5-year CAGR of 2.2%/yr. The 3-year growth forecast is 13.5%, suggesting continued upward momentum. Although days on market data are not available, the high rental demand and low vacancy rate of 2.0% signal a favorable market for sellers. For buyers, it's essential to act quickly due to the competitive market conditions.

## 3. Rental Market The rental market in Moil, NT, is strong, with a median weekly rent of $655/wk and a gross rental yield of 5.3%. The vacancy rate is low at 2.0%, and rental demand is high. This indicates a favorable environment for investors, with a high likelihood of securing tenants and achieving stable rental income. The owner-occupier rate is 52%, which is relatively balanced, suggesting a mix of investors and owner-occupiers in the market.

## 4. Short-Term Rental Opportunity The median nightly rate for short-term rentals in Moil, NT, is $465/night, with an occupancy rate of 40%. This translates to an estimated annual revenue of $85,140 (assuming 365 nights per year and 40% occupancy). Compared to the long-term rental market, short-term rentals may offer higher potential revenue, but they also come with higher management costs and uncertainty. In this case, long-term rentals seem more stable, given the high demand and low vacancy rate.

## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers Moil, NT, benefits from its proximity to the Darwin City Deal, which is currently under delivery. The transport infrastructure includes Darwin station, 9.7km away, providing relatively convenient access to public transportation. The suburb's growth is driven by its recovery market cycle, low supply pipeline, and high rental demand. The unemployment rate is 4.1%, which is relatively low, indicating a stable employment base.

## 6. Bull Case If market conditions hold or improve, the upside scenario for Moil, NT, is promising. With a 3-year growth forecast of 13.5%, the median house price could increase to around $821,000 (assuming consistent annual growth). This, combined with the high rental yield, makes Moil an attractive investment opportunity. The low supply pipeline and high demand will likely continue to drive price growth, making it an excellent time for investors to enter the market.

## 7. Risks The specific risks associated with investing in Moil, NT, are relatively low. The vacancy risk is minimal, given the low vacancy rate of 2.0%. There is no significant single-employer dependency, and the supply pipeline is limited, which reduces the risk of oversupply. The interest rate sensitivity is a general market risk, but with a gross rental yield of 5.3%, investors can still achieve a relatively stable return. Flood risk: not on record for this suburb in the state planning overlay. Order an independent flood certificate before commit. Bushfire risk: not on record for this suburb in the state planning overlay. Order an independent BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) assessment before commit. Heritage status is not on record — confirm with the council duty planner / a Section 10.7 (NSW) or equivalent certificate.

## 8. The Play The recommended entry range for Moil, NT, is between $580,000 and $700,000 for houses, considering the median price of $645,000. For units, the entry range is between $420,000 and $500,000, given the median unit price of $458,048. Investors should target a minimum yield of 5.0% to ensure a stable return. Watch signals include changes in the vacancy rate, rental demand, and interest rates. The recommended strategy is to invest in a well-located property, either a house or a unit, and hold for the medium to long term to capitalize on the expected price growth and rental income.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.5/10
Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
Inner/middle ring location (8.9km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
High renter base (46%) — room for tenure upgrade as area improves
Active development pipeline (549 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
2.5%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.3%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.0%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 2.2% + 10yr CAGR 4.3%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.0%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (549 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green11 yellow1 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2 high impact
Days on Market
35 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
655 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
2.17 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.3 high impact
1yr Price Growth
15.71 medium impact
Population Growth
0.61 high impact
Median Household Income
2199 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.1 medium impact
Public Transport Score
6.6 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.1 medium impact
Distance to CBD
8.9 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
5 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
51.5 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
5.28 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
3.78 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

175

2020

95

2021

65

2022

140

2023

74

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 0810

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 7 of 10 — Average

Population

34,330

Education (IEO)

8/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

5/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Moil NT data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $655/wk median rent for Moil. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.