Dayboro QLD Property Investment

Moreton Bay · 4521 · Score: 67/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.41M
Rental Yield
2.8%
Vacancy Rate
2.1%
Median Weekly Rent
$770/wk
Median Unit Price
$769K
Population
2,376
Days on Market
35 days
Annual Growth
1.7%

Dayboro Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$567.31/night
Occupancy Rate
44%
Est. Annual Revenue
$91K
AI Investment Analysis

Dayboro QLD Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict We recommend a "Buy" for Dayboro, QLD, with the single most important number justifying this decision being the 3-year growth forecast of 13.5%. This indicates a strong potential for capital appreciation in the medium term.

## 2. Market Overview The median house price in Dayboro, QLD, is $1,410,563, while the median unit price is $769,455. The market has experienced a 1.7% price growth over the past year and a 4.3% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the past 5 years. The gross rental yield is 2.8%, and the median weekly rent is $770. Although days on market data are not available, the stable market cycle and high rental demand suggest a balanced market. This balance signals that buyers and sellers have relatively equal negotiating power, making it a good time for investment.

## 3. Rental Market The vacancy rate in Dayboro, QLD, is 2.1%, indicating a tight rental market. The median weekly rent is $770, and the gross rental yield is 2.8%. With a high rental demand and a low vacancy rate, this market is favorable for investors. The demand rating is high, suggesting that investors can expect strong competition for rentals, which can lead to higher rental incomes and lower vacancy periods.

## 4. Short-Term Rental Opportunity The median nightly rate for short-term rentals in Dayboro, QLD, is $567, with an occupancy rate of 44%. This translates to an estimated annual revenue of $89,298 (assuming 365 days of potential rental and 44% occupancy). Comparing this to the long-term rental scenario, where the annual revenue from a $1,410,563 property at $770 weekly rent would be $40,092, the short-term rental opportunity appears more lucrative. However, considerations such as management fees, cleaning costs, and potential gaps in occupancy must be factored into the decision. For investors looking for higher returns and willing to manage the associated risks and responsibilities, short-term rentals might be a better option in Dayboro.

## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers There are no major projects on file for Dayboro, QLD, which could indicate a stable but potentially slower-growth environment. The nearest transport link is Narangba station, 13.4 km away, which may impact the attractiveness of the area for some commuters. The employment base and lack of significant infrastructure projects could limit demand, but the low supply pipeline, with price growth outpacing new supply, supports the potential for continued price appreciation.

## 6. Bull Case If market conditions hold or improve, with the 3-year growth forecast of 13.5% materializing, the upside scenario for Dayboro, QLD, is significant. Assuming the median house price of $1,410,563 grows at this rate, the potential increase in value over three years would be approximately $522,419 ($1,410,563 * 13.5% * 3), bringing the median house price to around $1,932,982. This growth, combined with the potential for rental yield increases due to high demand, presents a compelling investment case.

## 7. Risks Despite the positive outlook, there are risks to consider. The vacancy risk is low, given the 2.1% vacancy rate, but investors should be aware of the potential for changes in market conditions. There is no significant single-employer dependency identified, reducing this specific risk. The supply pipeline is low, which is positive for price growth but could lead to increased competition if new developments are approved in the future. Rate sensitivity is a consideration, as changes in interest rates could affect borrowing costs and, consequently, demand. However, with an unemployment rate of 3.2%, the local economy appears stable, mitigating some of these risks.

## 8. The Play For investors looking to enter the Dayboro, QLD, market, the recommended entry range is around the current median prices ($1,410,563 for houses and $769,455 for units). Investors should target a minimum gross rental yield of 2.8% to ensure a reasonable return on investment. Watch signals include changes in the local employment market, announcements of new infrastructure projects, and shifts in the interest rate environment. The recommended strategy is to buy and hold, leveraging the anticipated 13.5% growth over the next three years, while also considering the potential benefits of short-term rentals for higher returns, albeit with higher management requirements.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification2.0/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Moderate capital growth (4.3% CAGR)
Active development pipeline (21414 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
4.2%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.9%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.4%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 4.3% + 10yr CAGR 4.7%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (1.8%/yr)
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.1%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (21414 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

5 green6 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.1 high impact
Days on Market
35 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
770 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
4.3 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.7 high impact
1yr Price Growth
1.67 medium impact
Population Growth
1.81 high impact
Median Household Income
2189 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.2 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7 medium impact
Distance to CBD
36.32 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
8 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
87.6 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.84 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.34 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-05

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

4,057

2020

5,365

2021

4,175

2022

3,011

2023

4,806

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4521

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

5,174

Education (IEO)

8/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

10/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Dayboro QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $770/wk median rent for Dayboro. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Dayboro SS
PrimaryGovernment
7/10
Bray Park SHS
SecondaryGovernment
5.8/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.