Mclaren Vale SA Property Investment

Onkaparinga · 5171 · Score: 61/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$916K
Rental Yield
3.0%
Vacancy Rate
0.8%
Median Weekly Rent
$600/wk
Median Unit Price
$644K
Population
4,061
Days on Market
66 days
Annual Growth
19.1%

Mclaren Vale Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$638/night
Occupancy Rate
42%
Est. Annual Revenue
$98K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Mclaren Vale SA Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the Investment Scorecard rates Mclaren Vale at 61.0 / 100, the highest‑impact figure for the decision.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: $900,000–$1,500,000 (peer sources disagree by >10%; use the full range). - Growth trend: not supplied. - Days on market: not supplied.

Signal: The wide median range shows market uncertainty – buyers and sellers face a balanced playing field. With no clear price‑trend data, neither side holds a decisive advantage today.

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## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: not supplied. - Weekly rent: not supplied. - Gross yield: not supplied. - Demand rating: not supplied.

Implication: Without rental metrics we cannot quantify cash‑flow returns. The Hold rating (61 / 100) suggests the rental market is neither strongly attractive nor unattractive at present.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental (STR) Opportunity - Nightly rate: not supplied. - Occupancy: not supplied. - Estimated annual revenue: not supplied.

Conclusion: No STR data are available, so we cannot compare STR versus long‑term rental (LTR) profitability for Mclaren Vale.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects, transport, employment base: not supplied.

Observation: The suburb is recognised for its wine region and tourism appeal, which typically underpins local employment and visitor traffic, but specific infrastructure or development projects are not listed in the data set.

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## 6. Bull Case If the market moves toward the upper end of the median range and tourism demand strengthens, property values could approach $1,500,000 and rental income could rise proportionally. However, precise upside figures cannot be modelled without concrete growth, rent, or yield data.

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## 7. Risks - Vacancy risk: no vacancy rate provided – uncertainty remains. - Single‑employer dependency: the local economy leans on wine and tourism; concentration risk exists but is not quantified. - Supply pipeline: no data on new housing supply; a surge could pressure prices. - Rate sensitivity: interest‑rate changes could affect buyer capacity, but the magnitude is unknown.

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## 8. The Play - Entry price range: $900,000–$1,500,000 (aligned with the median house price range). - Yield target: rental‑yield figures are not supplied; investors should seek external rent data to confirm a minimum acceptable yield (commonly 4‑5 % for a Hold stance). - Watch signals: any release of vacancy, rent, or days‑on‑market data; shifts in tourism volumes; announcements of infrastructure or development projects. - Recommended strategy: maintain existing positions (Hold) and monitor for new market data that could clarify rental returns or price trends before committing additional capital.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
—Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
—Moderate capital growth (4.6% CAGR)
—Outer suburban location (32.9km to CBD) — slower gentrification cycle
▲Active development pipeline (4489 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
4.2%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.8%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.3%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 4.6% + 10yr CAGR 5.5%

Growth drivers
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 0.8%) — upward price pressure
Headwinds
  • −Slow market (66 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
  • −High supply pipeline (4489 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

5 green8 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
0.8 high impact
Days on Market
66 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
600 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
4.56 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
5.47 high impact
1yr Price Growth
19.12 medium impact
Population Growth
1.13 high impact
Median Household Income
1503 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.7 medium impact
Public Transport Score
5.1 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.5 medium impact
Distance to CBD
32.9 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
6 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
79.2 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.01 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.51 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

872

2020

1,074

2021

814

2022

839

2023

890

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 5171

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

6,265

Education (IEO)

6/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

8/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Mclaren Vale SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $600/wk median rent for Mclaren Vale. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

McLaren Vale Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
6.5/10
Willunga High School
SecondaryGovernment
5.8/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.