Clarence TAS Property Investment

· 7018 · Score: 66/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$626K
Rental Yield
3.9%
Vacancy Rate
1.8%
Median Weekly Rent
$469/wk
Median Unit Price
$528K
Population
23,450
Days on Market
35 days
Annual Growth
10.6%

Clarence Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$219.69/night
Occupancy Rate
33.4%
Est. Annual Revenue
$25K
AI Investment Analysis

Clarence TAS Investment Brief

BUY3.9% gross yield on a $626,031 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) median.

THE MARKET

Clarence has compounded at 4.6%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $626,031 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 35 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $626,031 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) | Units: $527,500
  • Gross yield: 3.9% | Net yield: 2.4%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 4.6%/yr | 3yr forecast: 4.1%/yr
  • Population: 23,450 | Owner-occupier rate: 72% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.8% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $469/wk | Days on market: 35 (stable)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $220/night | Occupancy: 33%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$26,782/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $24,388/yr (comparable — LTR offers simpler management)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Clarence maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.3%, median prices could reach $719,936 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Clarence pull back 10-15% from $626,031, with vacancy rising to 3.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • West Ulverstone (TAS): $607,146 median, 4.2% yield, 16.4% 1yr growth
  • George Town (TAS): $465,431 median, 4.8% yield, 25.1% 1yr growth
  • Glenorchy (TAS): $595,500 median, 5.1% yield, 9.3% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Clarence presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.9% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current stable phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $563,428$688,634
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification2.0/10
Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
Moderate capital growth (4.6% CAGR)
Outer suburban location (21.2km to CBD) — slower gentrification cycle

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
5.2%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
4.8%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
4.1%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 4.6% + 10yr CAGR 4.9%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (2.2%/yr)
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.8%) — constrained supply

Suburb Metric Thresholds

5 green8 yellow2 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.8 high impact
Days on Market
35 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
469 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
4.57 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.86 high impact
1yr Price Growth
10.6 medium impact
Population Growth
2.21 high impact
Median Household Income
1575 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.9 medium impact
Distance to CBD
21.2 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
6 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
72.4 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.9 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.4 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 7018

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 6 of 10 — Average

Population

23,450

Education (IEO)

7/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

4/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Clarence TAS data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $469/wk median rent for Clarence. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Howrah Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
7.2/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.