Dunalley TAS Property Investment

Tasman · 7177 · Score: 62/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$589K
Rental Yield
2.7%
Vacancy Rate
1.9%
Median Weekly Rent
$310/wk
Median Unit Price
$556K
Population
333
Days on Market
35 days
Annual Growth
8.1%

Dunalley Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$229.86/night
Occupancy Rate
%
Est. Annual Revenue
$55K
AI Investment Analysis

Dunalley TAS Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the suburb’s Investment Scorecard sits at 62.0 / 100, indicating modest upside but also enough uncertainty to warrant a wait‑and‑see approach.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: approximately $589,398 (pending peer validation). - Median unit price: *data not provided*. - Growth trend / days on market: *data not provided*.

*What this signals* – With only an un‑verified median house price and no evidence of recent price movement or market speed, buyers should treat the market as neutral. Sellers lack a clear price‑rise narrative, so pricing aggressively may be required to attract interest.

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## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: *data not provided* - Weekly rent (house / unit): *data not provided* - Gross yield: *data not provided* - Demand rating: *data not provided*

*Implication for investors* – Without rental‑market metrics, we cannot calculate yield or assess tenant demand. The absence of data suggests the rental market is either thin or not yet tracked for Dunalley, reinforcing a cautious Hold stance.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: *data not provided* - Occupancy rate: *data not provided* - Estimated annual STR revenue: *data not provided*

*LTR vs STR* – Because no short‑term rental figures exist, we cannot determine whether a long‑term lease (LTR) or short‑term rental (STR) would generate a superior return. Investors should wait for STR market data before committing to a strategy.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects / transport links / employment base: *data not provided*

*Demand drivers* – With no disclosed infrastructure or major employer information, there is no clear catalyst to lift property demand at present. The suburb’s appeal may rely on lifestyle factors not captured in the supplied data.

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## 6. Bull Case If future data validates a higher median house price, confirms solid rental yields, or reveals new infrastructure (e.g., road upgrades, tourism facilities), the suburb could experience price appreciation and stronger cash‑flow potential. The upside would hinge on those specific metrics moving favourably, but no concrete numbers can be quoted from the current dataset.

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Evidence from Data | |------|--------------------| | Price‑validation risk | Median house price is *pending peer validation* – the true level could be materially different. | | Rental‑market opacity | No vacancy, rent, or yield data – investors cannot gauge cash‑flow stability. | | Demand uncertainty | No information on employment hubs or infrastructure projects to sustain buyer interest. | | Interest‑rate sensitivity | As with any property, higher rates could suppress buyer capacity, especially when price fundamentals are unconfirmed. |

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## 8. The Play - Entry price range: *cannot be defined* until the median price is cross‑validated. - Minimum yield target: *cannot be set* without rental‑income data. - Watch signals: 1. Publication of a peer‑validated median house price. 2. Release of rental‑market statistics (vacancy, rent, yield). 3. Announcement of any infrastructure or tourism projects in or near Dunalley. - Recommended strategy: Maintain a Hold position. Monitor the above signals; if the median price confirms around $589k and rental yields emerge above 4‑5 % gross, consider a targeted entry. Until then, avoid new capital deployment in Dunalley.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Active development pipeline (159 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
4.2%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.9%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.4%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.2% + 10yr CAGR 6.2%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (2.0%/yr)
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.9%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (159 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

5 green2 yellow8 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.9 high impact
Days on Market
35 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
310 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.23 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
6.25 high impact
1yr Price Growth
8.08 medium impact
Population Growth
2.03 high impact
Median Household Income
1267 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
7.2 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.7 medium impact
Distance to CBD
39.54 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
3 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
77.8 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.73 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.23 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

31

2020

36

2021

31

2022

29

2023

32

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 7177

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

449

Education (IEO)

4/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

3/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Dunalley TAS data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $310/wk median rent for Dunalley. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Dunalley Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
5.7/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.