Port Arthur Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Port Arthur TAS Investment Analysis
HOLD
— 24.5% gross yield on a $222,471 median.
THE MARKET
Median house price in Port Arthur sits at $222,471 with 69 days on market and a 2.2% vacancy rate. This is a balanced market right now.
- **Median house:** $222,471 | **Units:** $123,608 - **Gross yield:** 24.5% | **Net yield:** 23.0% - **5yr price CAGR:** -0.6%/yr | **3yr forecast:** -0.6%/yr - **Population:** 7,559 | **Owner-occupier rate:** 35% | **Affluence:** Low
- **Supply pipeline:** Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- **Vacancy:** 2.2% (worsening) | **Rental demand:** High - **Median weekly rent:** $1,050/wk | **Days on market:** 69 (worsening) - Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- **Median nightly rate:** $175/night | **Occupancy:** 65% - **Estimated annual STR gross:** ~$41,519/yr - **vs long-term rent:** $54,600/yr (comparable — LTR offers simpler management)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record. - **Transport:** Well-connected inner-city location
BULL CASE
If Port Arthur maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.5%, median prices could reach $255,842 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Port Arthur pull back 10-15% from $222,471, with vacancy rising to 4.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Negative price growth suggests a softening market
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- **Oatlands** (TAS): $245,326 median, 20.1% yield, 6.7% 1yr growth - **Queenstown** (TAS): $213,000 median, 7.2% yield, 20.6% 1yr growth - **Ross** (TAS): $250,510 median, 10.0% yield, 6.1% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Port Arthur offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a correction phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 25.0%.
- Entry range: $200,224 – $244,718 - Minimum gross yield to target: 24.8% - Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.