Longford TAS Property Investment
Meander Valley · 7301 · Score: 57/100 · Hold
Longford Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.
Longford TAS Investment Brief
HOLD — 4.4% gross yield on a $647,080 median.
THE MARKET
Longford has compounded at 3.2%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $552,789 in 2021 is worth $647,080 today. Properties are sitting on market for 111 days (buyers have negotiating room). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $757,454 by 2031.
- Median house: $647,080 | Units: $520,076
- Gross yield: 4.4% | Net yield: 2.9%
- 5yr price CAGR: 3.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 4,268 | Owner-occupier rate: 71% | Affluence: Below Average
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 2.8% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $550/wk | Days on market: 111 (worsening)
- Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Western Junction station 9.1km away
BULL CASE
If Longford maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.0%, median prices could reach $744,142 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Longford pull back 10-15% from $647,080, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Chigwell (TAS): $643,220 median, 4.5% yield, 21.1% 1yr growth
- Hagley (TAS): $666,801 median, 1.6% yield, 16.4% 1yr growth
- Huonville (TAS): $713,525 median, 3.9% yield, 5.2% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Longford offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.9%.
- Entry range: $582,372 – $711,788
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.7%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
low confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 3.2% + 10yr CAGR 4.7%
- +Above-average population growth (1.9%/yr)
- −Slow market (111 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
- −High supply pipeline (802 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
123
2020
223
2021
182
2022
141
2023
133
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 7301
Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
4,717
Education (IEO)
2/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
3/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Longford TAS data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $550/wk median rent for Longford. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
Analyse a Property in Longford
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.