Brown Hill VIC Property Investment

Ballarat · 3350 · Score: 57/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$530K
Rental Yield
3.1%
Vacancy Rate
2.7%
Median Weekly Rent
$445/wk
Median Unit Price
$459K
Population
4,489
Days on Market
134 days
Annual Growth
7.1%

Brown Hill Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$401/night
Occupancy Rate
48%
Est. Annual Revenue
$70K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Brown Hill VIC Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the Investment Scorecard rates Brown Hill at 57.0 / 100, which sits in the mid‑range and signals a neutral outlook.

## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: not disclosed in the supplied data (the source notes a disagreement but does not give a figure). - Growth trend / days on market: not provided.

*Implication:* With no concrete price or timing data, buyers should proceed cautiously and sellers can only rely on the modest scorecard rating to gauge market sentiment.

## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: not supplied. - Weekly rent: not supplied. - Gross yield: not supplied. - Demand rating: not supplied.

*Implication:* The lack of rental metrics means investors cannot quantify cash‑flow expectations. The Hold rating suggests rental performance is likely steady but not compelling.

## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: not supplied. - Occupancy: not supplied. - Estimated annual revenue: not supplied.

*Implication:* Without STR data, we cannot compare long‑term rental (LTR) versus short‑term rental (STR). The neutral scorecard leans toward treating the suburb as a conventional LTR market until further data emerges.

## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects, transport links, employment base: not supplied.

*Implication:* No specific growth catalysts are identified, reinforcing the Hold stance pending further information on infrastructure or job market developments.

## 6. Bull Case If future data shows: - Median house price stabilising at the lower end of any emerging range, - Rental yields improving by a few percentage points, and - New infrastructure or employment projects materialising,

the Investment Scorecard could rise above 65 / 100, turning the outlook into a Buy. Exact upside figures cannot be modelled without concrete inputs.

## 7. Risks - Vacancy risk: unknown vacancy rate; any rise could erode cash flow. - Employer concentration: no employment data; reliance on a single large employer would heighten sensitivity to job losses. - Supply pipeline: absent data on new dwellings; a surge in supply could pressure prices and rents. - Interest‑rate sensitivity: with a mid‑range scorecard, higher rates could further dampen demand.

## 8. The Play - Entry range: cannot be defined precisely because the median house price is not disclosed. - Minimum yield target: aim for at least 4 % gross yield to compensate for the uncertainty. - Watch signals: any release of median price figures, vacancy statistics, new infrastructure announcements, or changes in the Investment Scorecard. - Recommended strategy: adopt a cautious Hold—monitor the market for the missing data points, and consider entering only if the purchase price aligns with the lower end of any emerging price range and the yield meets or exceeds the 4 % threshold.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.0/10
—Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
—Moderate capital growth (4.8% CAGR)
▲Active development pipeline (7197 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
4.0%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.7%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.2%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 4.8% + 10yr CAGR 5.3%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (2.2%/yr)
Headwinds
  • −Slow market (134 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
  • −High supply pipeline (7197 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

2 green9 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.7 high impact
Days on Market
134 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
445 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
4.78 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
5.31 high impact
1yr Price Growth
7.07 medium impact
Population Growth
2.22 high impact
Median Household Income
1503 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.6 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.7 medium impact
Distance to CBD
97.01 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
6 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
64.6 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.1 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.6 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

1,224

2020

2,123

2021

1,748

2022

1,411

2023

691

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 3350

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 6 of 10 — Average

Population

66,022

Education (IEO)

7/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

4/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Brown Hill VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $445/wk median rent for Brown Hill. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Little Bendigo Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
5.6/10
Woodmans Hill Secondary College
SecondaryGovernment
5.5/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.