Churchlands WA Property Investment
Stirling · 6018 · Score: 72/100 · Buy
Churchlands Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.
Churchlands WA Investment Brief
BUY — 3.2% gross yield on a $2,300,000 median.
THE MARKET
Churchlands has compounded at 2.0%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $2,083,181 in 2021 is worth $2,300,000 today. Properties are sitting on market for 42 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $2,539,386 by 2031.
- Median house: $2,300,000 | Units: $794,834
- Gross yield: 3.2% | Net yield: 1.7%
- 5yr price CAGR: 2.0%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 3,638 | Owner-occupier rate: 70% | Affluence: Very High
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 0.9% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
- Median weekly rent: $1,425/wk | Days on market: 42 (stable)
- Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $439/night | Occupancy: 37%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$59,236/yr
- vs long-term rent: $74,100/yr (comparable — LTR offers simpler management)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- METRONET (Perth Rail Expansion) (Under Construction)
- Perth City Deal (Under Delivery)
- Transport: Glendalough station 3.2km away
BULL CASE
If Churchlands maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $2,645,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Churchlands pull back 10-15% from $2,300,000, with vacancy rising to 1.6% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Claremont (WA): $2,463,010 median, 2.7% yield, 8.9% 1yr growth
- Swanbourne (WA): $2,680,000 median, 3.4% yield, 16.7% 1yr growth
- Floreat (WA): $2,430,000 median, 3.0% yield, 6.0% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Churchlands presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.2% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current recovery phase of the market cycle.
- Entry range: $2,070,000 – $2,530,000
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 2.0% + 10yr CAGR 4.2%
- +Above-average population growth (2.1%/yr)
- +Very tight rental market (vacancy 0.9%) — upward price pressure
- +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
- −High supply pipeline (5223 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
1,057
2020
1,377
2021
1,109
2022
604
2023
1,076
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 6018
Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage
Population
42,250
Education (IEO)
9/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
8/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Churchlands WA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $1425/wk median rent for Churchlands. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Nearby Suburbs
Analyse a Property in Churchlands
Get instant STR rules, granny flat feasibility, rental yield, and full investment strategy comparison for any address in Churchlands.
Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.