Wembley Downs WA Property Investment
Cambridge · 6019 · Score: 77/100 · Buy
Wembley Downs Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.
Wembley Downs WA Investment Brief
BUY — 2.7% gross yield on a $1,595,000–$1,930,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) median.
THE MARKET
Wembley Downs has compounded at 2.8%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $1,595,000–$1,930,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 32 days (roughly balanced conditions).
- Median house: $1,595,000–$1,930,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $861,993
- Gross yield: 2.7% | Net yield: 1.2%
- 5yr price CAGR: 2.8%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 6,743 | Owner-occupier rate: 64% | Affluence: Very High
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 0.9% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
- Median weekly rent: $1,050/wk | Days on market: 32 (stable)
- Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- METRONET (Perth Rail Expansion) (Under Construction)
- Perth City Deal (Under Delivery)
- Transport: Stirling station 3.7km away
BULL CASE
If Wembley Downs maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $2,357,499 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Wembley Downs pull back 10-15% from $2,049,999, with vacancy rising to 1.6% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Duncraig (WA): $1,500,000 median, 3.1% yield, 10.7% 1yr growth
- Kensington (WA): $1,798,177 median, 2.3% yield, 15.0% 1yr growth
- Shenton Park (WA): $2,530,000 median, 2.9% yield, 14.6% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Wembley Downs presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.7% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current recovery phase of the market cycle.
- Entry range: $1,844,999 – $2,254,999
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 2.8% + 10yr CAGR 4.0%
- +Above-average population growth (2.2%/yr)
- +Very tight rental market (vacancy 0.9%) — upward price pressure
- +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
- −High supply pipeline (566 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
174
2020
105
2021
67
2022
104
2023
116
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 6019
Decile 10 of 10 — Low disadvantage
Population
24,351
Education (IEO)
10/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
7/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Wembley Downs WA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $1050/wk median rent for Wembley Downs. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.