Connolly WA Property Investment
Wanneroo · 6027 · Score: 67/100 · Buy
Connolly Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.
Connolly WA Investment Brief
BUY — 4.0% gross yield on a $1,420,000 median.
THE MARKET
Connolly has compounded at 3.2%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,213,081 in 2021 is worth $1,420,000 today. Properties are sitting on market for 46 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,662,214 by 2031.
- Median house: $1,420,000 | Units: $876,753
- Gross yield: 4.0% | Net yield: 2.5%
- 5yr price CAGR: 3.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 3,675 | Owner-occupier rate: 76% | Affluence: High
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 0.9% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
- Median weekly rent: $1,100/wk | Days on market: 46 (worsening)
- Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- Alkimos Seawater Desalination Plant (Under Construction)
- METRONET (Perth Rail Expansion) (Under Construction)
- Transport: Joondalup station 1.8km away
BULL CASE
If Connolly maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $1,633,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Connolly pull back 10-15% from $1,420,000, with vacancy rising to 1.6% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Guildford (WA): $998,192 median, 4.0% yield, 18.3% 1yr growth
- Marangaroo (WA): $998,286 median, 4.0% yield, 8.3% 1yr growth
- Orange Grove (WA): $1,023,544 median, 1.5% yield, 10.0% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Connolly presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 4.0% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current cooling phase of the market cycle.
- Entry range: $1,278,000 – $1,562,000
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 3.2% + 10yr CAGR 4.3%
- +Very tight rental market (vacancy 0.9%) — upward price pressure
- −High supply pipeline (11330 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-06
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
1,304
2020
2,773
2021
1,975
2022
1,853
2023
3,425
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 6027
Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage
Population
42,828
Education (IEO)
7/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
9/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Connolly WA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $1100/wk median rent for Connolly. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Nearby Suburbs
Analyse a Property in Connolly
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.