Miranda NSW Property Investment

Sutherland · 2228 · Score: 70/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$2.03M
Rental Yield
3.1%
Vacancy Rate
1.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$1200/wk
Median Unit Price
$850K
Population
17,942
Days on Market
26 days
Annual Growth
-1.2%

Miranda Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$490/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$72K

Estimated revenue assumes year-round availability. Non-hosted short-stays are night-capped in some councils (e.g. 60 nights across most of Byron Shire, 180 in Ballina, Muswellbrook and parts of Greater Sydney) and levied in Victoria — the legal cap can cut achievable income well below this figure. Run STR Check for the rules on a specific address.

AI Investment Analysis

Miranda NSW Investment Brief

BUY — 3.1% gross yield on a $2,030,000 median.

THE MARKET

Median house price in Miranda sits at $2,030,000 with 26 days on market and a 1.6% vacancy rate. This is a tight rental market right now.

  • Median house: $2,030,000 | Units: $850,000
  • Gross yield: 3.1% | Net yield: 1.6%
  • 5yr price CAGR: -1.9%/yr | 3yr forecast: -1.8%/yr
  • Population: 17,942 | Owner-occupier rate: 64% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Building approvals easing (1113/yr in 2020 → 745/yr in 2025) — less new competing supply entering the market

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.6% (worsening) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $1,200/wk | Days on market: 26 (stable)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $490/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$71,595/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $62,400/yr (+15% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Sydney Gateway (Under Construction)
  • Sydney Metro City & Southwest (Operational)
  • New Intercity Fleet (NSW Trains) (Under Delivery)
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Miranda maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.1%, median prices could reach $2,334,500 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Miranda pull back 10-15% from $2,030,000, with vacancy rising to 2.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Negative price growth suggests a softening market
  • - Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Lakemba (NSW): $1,600,000 median, 2.7% yield, 18.9% 1yr growth
  • Yagoona (NSW): $1,487,500 median, 2.9% yield, 15.4% 1yr growth
  • Wetherill Park (NSW): $1,450,000 median, 2.7% yield, 3.6% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Miranda presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.1% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current recovery phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $1,827,000 – $2,233,000
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.0/10
▼High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
—Moderate capital growth (6.8% CAGR)
—Outer suburban location (20.3km to CBD) — slower gentrification cycle
▲Active development pipeline (5667 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
▲Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

medium confidence
1yr Forecast
5.5%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
5.1%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
4.4%
p.a.

Basis: 3yr growth 6.8% (discounted)

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (2.7%/yr) driving demand
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
  • +Active market (26 days avg)
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • −High supply pipeline (5667 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

9 green3 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.6 high impact
Days on Market
26 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
1200 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
-1.95 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
5 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-1.2 medium impact
Population Growth
2.72 high impact
Median Household Income
2009 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.8 medium impact
Public Transport Score
8.1 medium impact
School Zone Quality
8.1 medium impact
Distance to CBD
20.31 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
8 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
64.5 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.07 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.57 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

▲ 0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-07

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

1,113

2020

1,488

2021

1,323

2022

998

2023

745

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2228

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

21,001

Education (IEO)

8/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

7/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Miranda NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $1200/wk median rent for Miranda. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Miranda NPS
PrimaryGovernment
6.9/10
Miranda PS
PrimaryGovernment
6.4/10
Port Hacking HS
SecondaryGovernment
7/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

Analyse a Property in Miranda

Get instant STR rules, granny flat feasibility, rental yield, and full investment strategy comparison for any address in Miranda.

Analyse a Property →

Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.